MooonWhisper
0x9521976da950b0134cd51ac07d3166b26c289e2b
- Realised P&L
- $-530.95
- Volume
- $162.6k
- Markets traded
- 184
- Open portfolio
- $804.25
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded184
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration33.2% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)58.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration64.9% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? · No | 0.491 | 0.515 | $521.75 | +$23.73 |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? · Yes | 0.500 | 0.565 | $282.45 | +$32.45 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.6kat 0.472Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
- +$2.0kat 0.513 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$1.3kat 0.306Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?
- +$344.64at 0.668Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
- +$287.96at 0.400Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 13:35 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.53 | $79.91 |
| 07-31 22:28 | Trump declassifies new UFO files by August 15? | SELL | 0.31295 | $156.47 |
| 07-27 21:50 | Will Grab (GRAB) beat quarterly earnings? | BUY | 0.44 | $190.30 |
| 07-25 10:44 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.22 | $239.13 |
| 07-23 22:47 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | BUY | 0.4599999998 | $500.00 |
| 07-20 22:25 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.0776276145 | $84.06 |
| 07-20 13:57 | Mykhailo Fedorov reinstated as Ukrainian Defense Minister by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.277029328 | $300.00 |
| 07-19 10:52 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? | SELL | 0.0232805 | $46.56 |
| 07-15 09:59 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $90.00 |
| 07-15 09:50 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.09 | $90.00 |
| 07-14 21:15 | Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu in July 2026? | SELL | 0.6303672 | $787.96 |
| 07-13 19:45 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | SELL | 0.2598482263 | $507.12 |
| 07-09 16:55 | Wimbledon WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Linda Noskova | BUY | 0.3408725906 | $500.00 |
| 07-08 09:29 | Iran full airspace closure by July 31? | BUY | 0.2562001766 | $1000.00 |
| 07-08 08:03 | GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026? | SELL | 0.0043132636 | $49.92 |