MACD5
0x95a927ecf1532071b0ae6c4d82af30622ebb8c37
- Realised P&L
- $-171.31
- Volume
- $10.6k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $60.83
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.9% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.1% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.857 | 0.145 | $32.33 | −$158.80 |
| Will stablecoins hit $500B before 2027? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.048 | $28.50 | −$121.50 |
| Will Unit launch a token in 2025? · Yes | 0.274 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$24.64 |
| Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-13? · Yes | 0.650 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.15 |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) · G2 Esports | 0.350 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale? · Yes | 0.720 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| LoL: KT Rolster vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO5) · CTBC Flying Oyster | 0.400 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$186.27at 0.513MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?
- +$73.62at 0.250LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$59.25at 0.420Space FDV above $60M one day after launch?
- +$51.23at 0.710LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$32.16at 0.510Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 16:20 | Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.9021992523 | $41.02 |
| 03-14 09:35 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | SELL | 0.914 | $347.71 |
| 02-27 10:12 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | SELL | 0.971 | $362.21 |
| 02-26 18:08 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.9199999986 | $350.00 |
| 02-26 18:05 | US strikes Iran by February 27, 2026? | BUY | 0.9382529896 | $350.00 |
| 02-25 12:57 | Space FDV above $60M one day after launch? | SELL | 0.84 | $118.50 |
| 02-17 07:35 | MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? | SELL | 0.83 | $447.36 |
| 01-19 04:06 | Aztec FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.5099999973 | $40.00 |
| 01-17 13:57 | Space FDV above $60M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.4199999976 | $59.25 |
| 01-15 14:07 | Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.659999997 | $39.11 |
| 01-13 16:07 | Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13? | BUY | 0.4799999952 | $20.00 |
| 01-13 16:06 | Will AS Roma win on 2026-01-18? | BUY | 0.5 | $20.00 |
| 12-29 05:46 | Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | SELL | 0.7716622803 | $90.89 |
| 12-27 05:26 | Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025) | BUY | 0.8 | $100.92 |
| 12-27 05:23 | Theo FDV above $700M one day after launch? | BUY | 0.7256024045 | $33.00 |