PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

weatherlover21

0x9631150718ea1a1a662871f9d696f6567f55a38c

Realised P&L
$2.2k
Volume
$249.7k
Markets traded
7,099
Open portfolio
$708.12

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.9%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded7,099
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will CDOriente Petrolero win on 2026-06-21? · Yes0.2701.000$68.97+$50.34
Will there be more than 13 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from July 27 - August 2? · Yes0.6200.987$59.19+$21.99
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 3? · Yes0.5700.920$46.00+$17.50
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 23°C on July 31? · Yes0.0111.000$44.98+$44.48
Will the Bank of Brazil decrease the target for the Selic rate by 25 bps at the August meeting? · Yes0.8410.980$40.60+$5.75
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.3700.945$38.74+$23.57
Will 3 Sanders endorsees win August 4 primaries? · Yes0.5100.715$35.03+$10.04
FK Shakhtar Donetsk leading at halftime? · Yes0.4800.655$29.48+$7.88
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on August 2? · Yes0.8701.000$25.99+$3.37
Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.5600.550$25.30$0.46
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3? · Yes0.3570.995$25.08+$16.08
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 350m and 360m? · Yes0.4800.576$23.62+$3.94
Will Trump and Netanyahu not shake hands by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.4720.993$21.98+$11.53
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on August 2? · Yes0.3800.995$19.89+$12.29
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from July 28 to August 4, 2026? · Yes0.2800.425$19.55+$6.67

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 03:27Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 3?BUY0.3$2.40
08-03 03:27Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.14$1.12
08-03 03:27Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on August 3?BUY0.46$3.68
08-03 01:43Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 3?BUY0.17$0.16
08-03 01:26Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on August 3?BUY0.17$1.53
08-03 01:26Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on August 3?BUY0.75$15.00
08-03 01:04Will the highest temperature in Busan be 36°C on August 3?BUY0.38$3.80
08-03 01:04Will the highest temperature in Busan be 37°C on August 3?BUY0.41$4.10
08-03 01:02Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on August 3?BUY0.5$13.00
08-03 01:02Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on August 3?BUY0.3568281715$9.00
08-02 22:23Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 3?BUY0.18$1.26
08-02 22:23Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C on August 3?BUY0.2599999257$1.89
08-02 22:23Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 3?BUY0.4$2.80
08-02 21:14Exact Score: CF América 1 - 2 Club Santos Laguna?BUY0.04$1.12
08-02 21:14Exact Score: CF América 2 - 2 Club Santos Laguna?BUY0.0429999682$1.26