0x965a189328f6ee6B67d9997bB7ab38630729246F-1767016328870
0x965a189328f6ee6b67d9997bb7ab38630729246f
- Realised P&L
- $-588.86
- Volume
- $59.8k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $647.02
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.0%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- CautionSettled sample2 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)0.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? · Yes | 0.083 | 0.054 | $647.02 | −$339.73 |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.064 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025? · Yes | 0.004 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$199.84 |
| Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15? · Yes | 0.069 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-03? · Yes | 0.160 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$-3.95at 0.430Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$-5.33at 0.150European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-22 14:30 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.084 | $9.69 |
| 05-22 14:29 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.084 | $743.40 |
| 05-22 14:26 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.084 | $84.00 |
| 05-22 14:24 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.083 | $74.07 |
| 05-22 14:11 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.083 | $24.90 |
| 04-01 13:40 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0839999932 | $10.75 |
| 04-01 13:39 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | SELL | 0.07 | $4.67 |
| 04-01 13:39 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.26 | $6.04 |
| 01-11 13:30 | Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | BUY | 0.0681661981 | $39.96 |
| 01-03 17:47 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-03? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 01-03 17:46 | Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-03? | BUY | 0.16 | $10.00 |
| 01-03 17:41 | Ukraine hits Moscow by January 15? | BUY | 0.0687593362 | $10.00 |
| 01-03 17:41 | European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 01-03 17:40 | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0636317837 | $10.00 |
| 01-03 17:40 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BUY | 0.4299999931 | $10.00 |