0x9701445CcFdADA7EF82Dba2d1c38358B794cFab8-1773412283965
0x9701445ccfdada7ef82dba2d1c38358b794cfab8
- Realised P&L
- $62.68
- Volume
- $2.6k
- Markets traded
- 15
- Open portfolio
- $397.96
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.4%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- BlockerMarkets traded15
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration53.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample12 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)50.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration44.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No | 0.560 | 1.000 | $178.48 | +$78.48 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · No | 0.360 | 0.425 | $177.08 | +$27.08 |
| Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? · Yes | 0.277 | 0.235 | $42.40 | −$7.60 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.21at 0.574Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$37.63at 0.569Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$22.31at 0.640Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
- +$16.15at 0.650US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?
- +$12.86at 0.700Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day in March?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-11 11:58 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.359999999 | $150.00 |
| 06-06 09:43 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June? | SELL | 0.031 | $0.22 |
| 06-06 09:42 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June? | SELL | 0.031 | $5.46 |
| 06-01 09:26 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | SELL | 0.998 | $87.62 |
| 05-25 15:51 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2899999981 | $100.00 |
| 05-25 15:37 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.4299999979 | $50.00 |
| 05-22 09:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5599999993 | $100.00 |
| 05-22 09:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.689999999 | $100.00 |
| 05-17 14:24 | Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.0% before 2027? | BUY | 0.2771448504 | $50.00 |
| 04-30 06:14 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April? | SELL | 0.997 | $62.31 |
| 04-10 09:08 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $5,000-$5,400 in June? | BUY | 0.1635662724 | $30.00 |
| 04-10 08:42 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? | BUY | 0.5694305681 | $50.00 |
| 04-08 07:06 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30? | SELL | 0.31 | $11.07 |
| 04-08 07:05 | Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30? | SELL | 0.12 | $6.15 |
| 04-07 16:32 | US x Iran ceasefire by June 30? | BUY | 0.4 | $30.00 |