0x97D8C0A35cb0449520982beE19716A27AC410A12-1783269092070
0x97d8c0a35cb0449520982bee19716a27ac410a12
- Realised P&L
- $533.71
- Volume
- $668.0k
- Markets traded
- 1,459
- Open portfolio
- $11.8k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,459
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration32.5% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)96.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · Yes | 0.939 | 1.000 | $5.5k | +$332.01 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? · Yes | 0.902 | 1.000 | $3.5k | +$342.13 |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · Yes | 0.810 | 0.998 | $2.1k | +$393.75 |
| Iran military action against a Gulf State on July 31? · No | 0.693 | 0.947 | $691.58 | +$185.36 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.855 | 0.001 | $0.00 | −$1.14 |
| Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by July 31, 2026? · No | 0.990 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$82.57 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$560.89at 0.812Will Donald Trump publicly insult Tucker Carlson by July 31, 2026?
- +$325.93at 0.807Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
- +$252.44at 0.927Ethereum Up or Down on July 31?
- +$179.01at 0.911Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
- +$168.33at 0.806Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 3AM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 03:50 | Will Donald Trump publicly insult Emmanuel Macron by July 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.996 | $426.48 |
| 08-02 02:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.989864982 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 02:58 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9883790558 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 02:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.989 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 02:58 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 02:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9696121551 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 02:57 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.98 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 02:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.9499999772 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 02:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 02:57 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET | BUY | 0.96 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 02:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 02:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9399999992 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 02:40 | Ethereum Up or Down - August 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | BUY | 0.9099999993 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 02:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.9939999999 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 02:40 | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 1, 10PM ET | BUY | 0.9930542141 | $50.00 |