takeoffmigos
0x98369215c437f6785bcac08b0c283d8b4a89d761
- Realised P&L
- $-2.9k
- Volume
- $124.0k
- Markets traded
- 31
- Open portfolio
- $139.90
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded31
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration94.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample21 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration67.3% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes | 0.241 | 0.015 | $94.21 | −$1.4k |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.979 | $42.96 | +$6.96 |
| Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? · No | 0.614 | 0.021 | $2.72 | −$75.25 |
| Will El Salvador win on 2025-09-08? · Yes | 0.452 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$146.38 |
| Solana Up or Down on September 9? · Up | 0.120 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.20 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 9, 9PM ET · Down | 0.094 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 10, 12PM ET · Down | 0.730 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Diamondbacks vs. Giants: O/U 7.5 · Under | 0.470 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9PM ET · Up | 0.500 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 9, 10PM ET · Down | 0.118 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Vikings vs. Bears: O/U 43.5 · Under | 0.510 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.20 |
| Solana Up or Down - September 10, 1PM ET · Up | 0.339 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$2.7kat 0.086Vivek replaces Vance as U.S. senator for Ohio?
- +$53.69at 0.650Will Switzerland win on 2025-09-08?
- +$38.75at 0.720Will Italy win on 2025-09-08?
- +$26.64at 0.690Will Portugal win on 2025-09-09?
- +$9.20at 0.540Vikings vs. Bears
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03-12 15:38 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.4524886878 | $50.00 |
| 03-12 15:37 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.3689720246 | $50.00 |
| 03-12 15:35 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.28934328 | $190.25 |
| 03-12 15:35 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.2575618227 | $100.00 |
| 03-12 15:34 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.2378385206 | $50.00 |
| 03-12 15:15 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.2786473289 | $10.30 |
| 03-12 15:14 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.2377915249 | $50.00 |
| 03-12 15:13 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.2237032176 | $50.00 |
| 03-12 15:12 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.2124782685 | $200.00 |
| 03-12 15:11 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.2392931804 | $200.00 |
| 03-12 15:11 | Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | SELL | 0.80085 | $160.17 |
| 03-12 15:09 | Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.8199999993 | $200.00 |
| 03-12 15:02 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.1366464701 | $151.55 |
| 12-11 01:48 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.2361623616 | $295.04 |
| 12-03 02:45 | Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor? | BUY | 0.9227672906 | $50.00 |