hfxtdgd1
0x999df5626bb87b2b1f5a06a134b8e8c22477a1e1
- Realised P&L
- $-12.2k
- Volume
- $290.7k
- Markets traded
- 71
- Open portfolio
- $9.9k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded71
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration55.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.541 | 0.505 | $5.5k | −$394.73 |
| Chicago Fire FC vs. Vancouver Whitecaps FC: O/U 3.5 · Over | 0.440 | 0.300 | $3.2k | −$1.5k |
| Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.554 | 0.505 | $1.1k | −$109.58 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$16.9kat 0.505England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners
- +$5.9kat 0.560Spread: Minnesota Lynx (-12.5)
- +$5.5kat 0.539Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempo
- +$5.1kat 0.510Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5)
- +$3.0kat 0.470St. Louis City SC vs. Sporting Kansas City: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 18:14 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.51 | $906.78 |
| 08-02 18:13 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.51 | $918.00 |
| 08-02 18:07 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.55 | $752.40 |
| 08-02 18:06 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.55 | $1.0k |
| 08-02 17:33 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.55 | $688.60 |
| 08-02 17:24 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.56 | $542.08 |
| 08-02 16:14 | Dota 2: Team Liquid vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.58 | $215.81 |
| 08-02 07:37 | Will CD La Serena win on 2026-08-02? | BUY | 0.6 | $919.80 |
| 07-30 04:49 | Will Malaga CF win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.51 | $227.46 |
| 07-30 03:00 | MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 5.5 | BUY | 0.001 | $18.21 |
| 07-30 02:55 | Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $526.67 |
| 07-30 02:29 | Game Handicap: FOX.Y (-1.5) vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (+1.5) | BUY | 0.63 | $175.77 |
| 07-30 02:23 | Will Malaga CF win on 2026-07-30? | BUY | 0.51 | $135.91 |
| 07-29 10:17 | Cerezo Osaka vs. Borussia Dortmund: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.33 | $2.97 |
| 07-29 10:17 | Cerezo Osaka vs. Borussia Dortmund: O/U 3.5 | BUY | 0.33 | $3.30 |