0x9aa8f3193b3cf08519d9eda2b841469a295b63a4
- Realised P&L
- $-202.38
- Volume
- $16.5k
- Markets traded
- 315
- Open portfolio
- $389.85
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded315
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration38.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$119.45at 0.152Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on July 30?
- +$47.02at 0.200Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1?
- +$31.53at 0.101Will the highest temperature in Busan be 39°C on August 2?
- +$24.24at 0.144Will the highest temperature in Paris be 37°C on August 3?
- +$23.55at 0.314Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 30?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 08:36 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 33°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.073 | $2.34 |
| 08-03 08:15 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 4? | BUY | 0.08 | $0.40 |
| 08-03 08:05 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 34°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.12 |
| 08-03 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.1 | $0.80 |
| 08-03 07:46 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.11 |
| 08-03 07:44 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 38°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.08 | $1.68 |
| 08-03 07:41 | Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.29 | $0.29 |
| 08-03 07:38 | Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.12 | $1.09 |
| 08-03 06:33 | Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.24 | $1.92 |
| 08-03 06:25 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.31 | $5.88 |
| 08-03 04:13 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on August 3? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.97 |
| 08-03 04:05 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.5 | $2.94 |
| 08-03 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 3? | SELL | 0.48 | $1.05 |
| 08-03 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 28°C on August 3? | BUY | 0.19 | $7.76 |
| 08-03 01:18 | Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on August 4? | BUY | 0.09 | $0.00 |