PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

petralha

0x9ad904ffc201b86e9f1636273f9633301d787e66

Realised P&L
$-11.3k
Volume
$617.5k
Markets traded
1,895
Open portfolio
$149.49

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.8%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,895
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration81.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026? · Yes0.3830.175$122.09$144.79
Will Fernando Haddad win the 2026 São Paulo gubernatorial election? · Yes0.0520.051$10.52$0.05
Will Michelle Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.006$6.14+$3.44
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.1400.083$3.30$2.30
Will Ronaldo Caiado finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0100.011$2.61+$0.28
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%? · Yes0.0220.030$1.02+$0.28
Will Helder Barbalho win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0020.001$1.00$3.00
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%? · Yes0.1000.097$0.96$0.04
Trump out as President by August 31? · Yes0.0160.009$0.54$0.37
Will the Workers' Party nominate Lula for President of Brazil by August 15? · No0.1590.006$0.43$10.82
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.00% and 3.49%? · Yes0.0460.013$0.39$0.98
Will Partido Social Democrático (PSD) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.0430.005$0.32$2.18
Will Tereza Cristina finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0120.001$0.10$2.41
Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0030.002$0.04$0.04
Will Partido dos Trabalhadores (PT) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.0420.005$0.03$0.24

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 18:29Will Trump wear a Yarmulke in 2026?BUY0.2$0.50
07-30 18:23Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on July 31?SELL0.36$13.33
07-30 17:56Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 30?SELL0.055192108$1.06
07-30 17:54Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 30?SELL0.8046728972$8.61
07-30 17:51Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on July 30?BUY0.2509190031$4.83
07-30 14:02Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 30?SELL0.026$1.87
07-30 14:01Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 30?SELL0.007$1.11
07-30 13:16Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on July 30?BUY0.0096925593$1.54
07-30 13:15Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on July 30?BUY0.0197439855$1.42
07-30 13:11Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 30?SELL0.29$4.40
07-30 13:10Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 30?SELL0.3$5.65
07-30 12:33Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 23°C on July 30?SELL0.3477955373$21.98
07-29 21:54Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 30?SELL0.11$0.22
07-29 21:53Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 30?SELL0.12$0.60
07-29 21:53Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on July 30?BUY0.15$1.05