PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tinman2

0x9baebe30d1cefe0ac5be4be85189c9fa33e95d34

Realised P&L
$10.9k
Volume
$1.65M
Markets traded
1,374
Open portfolio
$12.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,374
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration19.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)80.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration9.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? · No0.6090.948$931.03+$332.51
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · No0.7170.808$840.84+$94.84
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.8730.115$798.82$5.3k
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · No0.7580.773$788.97+$15.81
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.7390.680$727.60$63.60
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? · Yes0.2400.355$717.10+$232.31
Will Maxx Crosby play for Los Angeles Rams next? · No0.9580.998$518.70+$20.54
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? · Yes0.5340.260$435.32$459.69
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? · No0.5371.000$299.85+$138.60
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? · Yes0.8470.575$258.75$122.25
Will Eugen Tomac be the next Prime Minister of Romania? · No0.9510.982$245.50+$7.72
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026? · No0.9000.973$191.06+$14.24
Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 3, 2026? · Yes0.6910.645$141.84$10.02
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026? · Yes0.7770.545$141.70$60.33
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? · Yes0.9350.935$140.25$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 22:00US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.74$37.00
07-31 23:37Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 3, 2026?BUY0.8$24.60
07-31 23:36Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 3, 2026?BUY0.01$0.30
07-31 23:36Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 3, 2026?BUY0.8$123.00
07-31 23:36Will UEFA end its FIFA boycott by August 3, 2026?BUY0.79$3.95
07-31 23:36Will FIFA Sell Equity in the World Cup in 2026?BUY0.984996425$137.76
07-31 21:29Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.34$19.72
07-31 21:18US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?BUY0.51$25.50
07-31 21:18Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?BUY0.24$12.00
07-31 09:00Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 3.1%?BUY0.71$35.50
07-31 09:00Will the Eurozone's 2026 Annual Inflation be between 2.8% and 3.0%?BUY0.299$14.95
07-30 22:25Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by December 31?BUY0.4263144963$17.35
07-30 22:25Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31?BUY0.48$24.00
07-30 21:18Amazon 2026 capex above $220B?BUY0.47$9.45
07-30 12:00Will Mexico GDP growth in Q2 2026 be at least 2.5%?BUY0.99$9.90