0x9BBD88140CcBA06100DA00476257d9cffCE56e72-1771508511872
0x9bbd88140ccba06100da00476257d9cffce56e72
- Realised P&L
- $46.2k
- Volume
- $410.0k
- Markets traded
- 596
- Open portfolio
- $16.6k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar11.3%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded596
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration22.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.6kat 0.319US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?
- +$3.5kat 0.146Will the Freedom Movement (GS) win the most seats in the 2026 Slovenian parliamentary election?
- +$3.3kat 0.309Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 15, 2026?
- +$2.8kat 0.253US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
- +$2.6kat 0.240Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 09:36 | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting? | BUY | 0.991 | $1.00 |
| 05-11 23:36 | Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.29 | $1.45 |
| 05-11 17:55 | Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.21 | $105.00 |
| 05-11 17:46 | Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.2802857143 | $39.24 |
| 05-11 11:50 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.8563682505 | $15.86 |
| 05-11 11:50 | Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? | BUY | 0.8331393841 | $113.09 |
| 05-08 11:29 | Will Lee Jung-hyun win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7592537975 | $116.46 |
| 05-08 11:29 | Will Lee Jung-hyun win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election? | BUY | 0.719 | $3.59 |
| 05-08 11:29 | Will Lee Jung-hyun win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election? | BUY | 0.7252573326 | $13.11 |
| 05-08 11:22 | Will Min Hyung-bae win the 2026 Jeonnam–Gwangju mayoral election? | BUY | 0.5 | $2.50 |
| 05-07 12:46 | Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.3535622318 | $16.48 |
| 05-07 11:38 | Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.16 | $34.72 |
| 05-07 11:35 | Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? | BUY | 0.77 | $3.85 |
| 05-07 11:24 | Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.35 | $1.75 |
| 05-07 11:22 | Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027? | SELL | 0.2824278215 | $17.22 |