PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0x9D32aD42A0077Da197FaAA861A65346A11250Fb9-1768930807659

0x9d32ad42a0077da197faaa861a65346a11250fb9

Realised P&L
$57.2k
Volume
$232.6k
Markets traded
30
Open portfolio
$30.1k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar24.6%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded30
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample24 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)91.7%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.4680.675$21.9k+$6.7k
Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.6280.895$3.7k+$1.1k
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? · Yes0.1880.440$3.0k+$1.7k
Variational FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.9000.965$965.00+$65.00
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes0.1190.340$468.74+$304.97
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch? · Yes0.0290.135$14.45+$11.37

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
05-05 10:52Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.5$582.50
05-05 09:48Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.5$807.53
05-05 09:48Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.49$516.91
05-05 09:48Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.48$139.20
05-04 08:35Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.5$1.8k
05-04 08:35Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.49$446.88
05-04 08:35Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.48$576.00
05-04 08:35Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.47$470.00
05-04 08:35Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.46$13.80
05-03 18:30Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.47$102.52
05-03 18:30Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.46$6.67
05-03 18:30Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.4596184211$174.66
05-03 18:30Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch?BUY0.45$6.53
05-03 18:24Variational FDV above $300M one day after launch?BUY0.65$5.85
05-03 18:24Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch?BUY0.2$171.70