PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Alganda

0x9d5cd1913a02035ee217d35b6dfad8f4ffbc46c3

Realised P&L
$1.1k
Volume
$80.9k
Markets traded
220
Open portfolio
$2.9k

Can you copy this trader?

plausibleNo blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.4%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded220
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration16.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration16.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.8100.765$472.22$27.78
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.8060.905$336.77+$36.77
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? · No0.7060.535$280.54$89.46
Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid? · Yes0.7040.655$242.14$18.16
Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? · Yes0.5300.515$145.75$4.25
Will Chelsea win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · Yes0.1000.095$129.20$6.80
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? · No0.3100.355$114.52+$14.52
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? · Yes0.5900.635$107.63+$7.63
Fed rate hike in 2026? · No0.3100.325$104.84+$4.84
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? · No0.6000.305$101.67$98.33
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.3440.345$100.18+$0.18
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting? · No0.4400.435$98.86$1.14
Will the Buffalo Bills win the 2027 NFL league championship? · Yes0.0800.075$93.75$6.25
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.2630.205$93.53$26.47
Weed rescheduled by December 31? · Yes0.3280.227$55.27$24.73

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 04:07Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?BUY0.2$34.63
08-03 04:05Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?BUY0.1163889241$15.00
08-03 03:54Spain accuses Morocco of facilitating Ceuta migrant wave by August 31?BUY0.0559999949$10.00
08-03 03:51US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.5399999991$70.00
08-02 08:13Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.5599999969$50.00
08-02 08:11Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?SELL0.7385788$184.64
07-30 17:23Will Vinicius Junior stay at Real Madrid?BUY0.75$210.30
07-30 11:00Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?BUY0.4399999981$100.00
07-30 07:25Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?BUY0.4$100.00
07-30 07:19Israel closes its airspace by August 15?BUY0.8061835271$300.00
07-30 07:18Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?BUY0.5899999991$100.00
07-30 07:16Will Moonshot have the best Chinese AI model at the end of July 2026?BUY0.0905518386$15.00
07-30 07:07Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 260m and 280m?BUY0.0795176892$10.00
07-29 18:51Will Barcelona win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship?BUY0.5299999984$150.00
07-29 18:45Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.8099999999$500.00