PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Glued

0x9dd9e18b9dcc393705e73966bc79eccbbd9108bd

Realised P&L
$38.2k
Volume
$12.09M
Markets traded
30,037
Open portfolio
$58.3k

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded30,037
Far too many to mirror. This is automated flow across the whole venue, not a set of considered positions — copying it means rebuilding their infrastructure, at which point you are not copying anyone.
BlockerProfit concentration74.0% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)24.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? · No0.6900.845$1.5k+$280.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.6690.860$1.1k+$248.47
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.2750.425$992.80+$350.41
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-52 House seat? · Yes0.8990.955$914.89+$53.19
Will Zaļo un Zemnieku Savienība (ZZS) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election? · No0.7250.994$823.61+$222.58
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026? · No0.3760.635$800.74+$326.65
Will Nancy Dahlstrom win the 2026 Alaska governor election? · No0.5620.993$792.04+$343.41
Celonis IPO before 2027? · No0.6410.880$721.60+$195.93
Will the Republican Party win the SC-01 House seat? · Yes0.7650.685$656.91$76.54
Will the Republican Party win the SC-04 House seat? · Yes0.8480.915$629.52+$45.97
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? · Yes0.2350.380$618.26+$235.10
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-28 House seat? · Yes0.8760.945$545.26+$39.47
Will the Democratic Party win the MN-05 House seat? · Yes0.8530.955$529.07+$56.58
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $5,800 (LOW) in December? · No0.3410.825$521.60+$305.80
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? · No0.6920.855$514.71+$98.04

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-26 20:57Will Tom Begich advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election?SELL0.043$0.17
07-26 20:56Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?SELL0.31$10.23
07-26 20:56Will the Democratic Party win the WA-08 House seat?SELL0.884$6.19
07-26 20:51Will the Democratic Party win the CA-22 House seat?SELL0.83$9.13
07-25 12:17Will the Republicans win the Kansas governor race in 2026?SELL0.72$4.32
07-23 20:43Will Charity Clark win the 2026 Vermont Governor Democratic primary election?SELL0.998$0.99
07-19 19:40Will Vladimir Guerrero Jr. win the 2026 American League MVP Award?SELL0.998$37.92
07-19 19:40Will Dominick Pangallo be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?SELL0.9971937474$48.48
07-19 13:45Will Seth Moulton be the Democratic nominee for MA-06?SELL0.998$24.95
07-18 11:33Will Dan Innis be the Republican nominee for Senate in New Hampshire?SELL0.999$29.97
07-18 11:33Will Tom Leonard win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.999$8.99
07-18 11:33Will Aric Nesbitt win the 2026 Michigan Governor Republican primary election?SELL0.999$1.00
07-15 22:21Will there be less than 85m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?SELL0.994$9.94
07-15 22:21Will there be between 85m and 90m votes cast in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections?SELL0.996$9.96
07-15 20:34Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 0% and 2%?SELL0.976$25.38