BigYahuu
0x9de200956e24f4e0bdd1cd20715cfa63875e2f54
- Realised P&L
- $2.6k
- Volume
- $154.6k
- Markets traded
- 143
- Open portfolio
- $2.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar1.7%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded143
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration32.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 4? · Yes | 0.960 | 0.982 | $2.0k | +$45.10 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET · Down | 0.320 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on May 30? · Yes | 0.314 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$4.00 |
| Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic? · Yes | 0.050 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET · Down | 0.750 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET · Up | 0.200 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
| Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? · Yes | 0.392 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$161.99 |
| Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.00 |
| Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the July decision? · No | 0.387 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$130.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$880.49at 0.780US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
- +$383.25at 0.300Houthi strike on Israel by March 15, 2026?
- +$380.42at 0.856Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
- +$366.30at 0.845Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
- +$317.00at 0.680Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 21:31 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? | SELL | 0.997 | $996.99 |
| 06-24 01:15 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BUY | 0.2 | $1.00 |
| 06-24 01:11 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET | BUY | 0.32 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 01:09 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.75 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 01:07 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | SELL | 0.39 | $10.83 |
| 06-24 01:06 | Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET | BUY | 0.1799999755 | $5.00 |
| 06-24 00:54 | Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia? | SELL | 0.99 | $7.07 |
| 06-24 00:19 | Exact Score: Panama 0 - 1 Croatia? | BUY | 0.2799999048 | $2.00 |
| 06-24 00:16 | Exact Score: Panama 0 - 2 Croatia? | BUY | 0.25 | $2.00 |
| 06-21 23:56 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.86 | $1.5k |
| 06-21 22:06 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.944 | $0.28 |
| 06-21 18:44 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.8499999999 | $700.00 |
| 06-21 18:43 | Israel closes its airspace by July 31? | BUY | 0.84 | $49.56 |
| 06-21 18:42 | Israel closes its airspace by June 30? | SELL | 0.9550468597 | $944.46 |
| 06-18 23:35 | Exact Score: Mexico 3 - 1 Korea Republic? | BUY | 0.05 | $3.00 |