0xF4c639895ca296053A7389982fde40FD3A7F194c-1775302046666
0x9e5dd800b5abad60a793fc207a3b266668d4c928
- Realised P&L
- $-730.53
- Volume
- $68.0k
- Markets traded
- 27
- Open portfolio
- $2.4k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded27
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.9% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample5 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration28.0% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$3.1kat 0.434 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
- +$391.89at 0.692Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
- +$75.97at 0.129Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$73.70at 0.138Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
- +$59.09at 0.780Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-15 04:48 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.227 | $175.97 |
| 07-15 04:47 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | SELL | 0.8717444725 | $559.08 |
| 07-15 04:47 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | SELL | 0.9637780224 | $1.4k |
| 07-03 13:50 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by August 31? | BUY | 0.7796119089 | $500.00 |
| 06-26 19:54 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1773573738 | $100.00 |
| 06-26 05:32 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2565800424 | $500.00 |
| 06-26 05:32 | Israel withdraws from Lebanon by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.1820770268 | $250.00 |
| 06-25 07:07 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | BUY | 0.66 | $100.00 |
| 06-25 00:34 | Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by July 31? | BUY | 0.2781917521 | $100.00 |
| 06-25 00:33 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.64 | $100.00 |
| 06-25 00:30 | Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.5985911409 | $200.00 |
| 06-25 00:30 | Will the Republic of the Congo have an Ebola case in 2026? | BUY | 0.4771329273 | $200.00 |
| 06-24 18:31 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.64 | $200.00 |
| 06-24 18:30 | Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | BUY | 0.6798866856 | $300.00 |
| 06-23 19:57 | Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? | BUY | 0.1413000167 | $500.00 |