todamooon
0x9e633711c7b14768b5cf37011c394ae549ec7e29
- Realised P&L
- $486.51
- Volume
- $901.9k
- Markets traded
- 2,610
- Open portfolio
- $447.55
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,610
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)98.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration36.9% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? · No | 0.273 | 0.465 | $165.05 | +$68.05 |
| Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Rocket Classic? · Yes | 0.082 | 1.000 | $121.89 | +$111.89 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? · No | 0.850 | 0.875 | $102.94 | +$2.94 |
| Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2026 World Series? · Yes | 0.018 | 0.007 | $28.66 | −$41.34 |
| Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox · Chicago White Sox | 0.490 | 0.505 | $20.61 | +$0.61 |
| Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago Cubs · Toronto Blue Jays | 0.590 | 0.465 | $7.88 | −$2.12 |
| Will Sung-Jae Im win the 2026 Masters tournament? · Yes | 0.005 | 0.001 | $0.50 | −$4.50 |
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Baltimore Orioles · Baltimore Orioles | 0.440 | 0.001 | $0.02 | −$19.98 |
| Will Ryan Fox win the 2026 U.S. Open? · Yes | 0.006 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| Padres vs. Cubs · Padres | 0.490 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$15.00 |
| Penguins vs. Red Wings · Red Wings | 0.570 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
| Oilers vs. Capitals · Oilers | 0.337 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.94 |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. New York Mets · New York Mets | 0.420 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
| Capitals vs. Flames · Flames | 0.513 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$22.00 |
| Hurricanes vs. Kings · Kings | 0.430 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$12.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.4kat 0.004Will the St. Louis Blues win the 2025 Stanley Cup?
- +$699.94at 0.136Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$692.69at 0.144Will the Vegas Golden Knights win the Pacific Division?
- +$668.62at 0.372Will Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?
- +$456.35at 0.299Maple Leafs vs. Avalanche
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 01:00 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.2699999904 | $20.00 |
| 08-02 22:18 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6199999911 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 22:18 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.1161289995 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 18:24 | Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Cincinnati Reds | BUY | 0.1 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 18:23 | St. Louis Cardinals vs. Toronto Blue Jays | BUY | 0.4499999797 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 18:11 | Will Michael Thorbjornsen win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.0819999928 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 18:11 | Will Davis Riley win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.0731443284 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 18:11 | Will Chris Kirk win the 2026 Rocket Classic? | BUY | 0.1503408925 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 15:38 | San Francisco Giants vs. San Diego Padres | BUY | 0.4299999951 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 15:38 | Minnesota Twins vs. Seattle Mariners | BUY | 0.4399999847 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 15:38 | Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $50.00 |
| 08-02 15:37 | Detroit Tigers vs. Athletics | BUY | 0.4899999916 | $25.00 |
| 08-02 15:37 | Milwaukee Brewers vs. Los Angeles Angels | BUY | 0.3299999812 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 15:37 | New York Yankees vs. Chicago Cubs | BUY | 0.5399999986 | $15.00 |
| 08-02 15:37 | Kansas City Royals vs. Colorado Rockies | BUY | 0.449999988 | $15.00 |