luzai
0x9f5410f21eefbaeb16f1b590dcaa3875f4b6adfe
- Realised P&L
- $-1.5k
- Volume
- $51.1k
- Markets traded
- 96
- Open portfolio
- $675.53
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.9%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded96
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration17.1% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? · Yes | 0.551 | 0.195 | $675.53 | −$1.2k |
| Will the US add between 50k and 100k jobs in August? · Yes | 0.540 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.70 |
| Silver (SI) Up or Down on January 21? · Up | 0.340 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.70 |
| Will the US add less than 50k jobs in August? · No | 0.770 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.85 |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting? · Yes | 0.099 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$2.58 |
| Will d4vd be the #1 searched person on Google this year? · No | 0.003 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$3.00 |
| US stagflation in 2025? · Yes | 0.260 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$0.26 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$111.89at 0.934Will Bitcoin outperform Gold in 2025?
- +$93.05at 0.570US forces enter Iran by April 30?
- +$66.00at 0.670First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
- +$60.33at 0.584Will Silver (SI) settle at <$70 in January?
- +$58.82at 0.989Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-07 03:57 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | SELL | 0.997 | $217.27 |
| 04-01 11:51 | US forces enter Iran by April 30? | BUY | 0.57 | $124.21 |
| 04-01 11:47 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $2.70 |
| 04-01 11:46 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.54 | $18.20 |
| 04-01 11:45 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | SELL | 0.82 | $8.20 |
| 03-22 14:57 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 30? | BUY | 0.64 | $6.40 |
| 03-22 14:57 | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.40 |
| 03-22 14:57 | US x Iran ceasefire by March 31? | BUY | 0.91 | $9.10 |
| 03-22 04:57 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.56 | $12.15 |
| 03-15 03:13 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | SELL | 0.61 | $252.16 |
| 03-06 21:42 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.71 | $31.95 |
| 03-06 21:41 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | SELL | 0.85 | $42.50 |
| 03-05 06:22 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.68 | $108.97 |
| 03-03 06:21 | Will Trump visit China by April 30? | BUY | 0.84 | $42.00 |
| 02-28 15:30 | Will Gold have the best performance in 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $323.92 |