MrMelonHead
0x9f66aa958734d9d5af35f5f19a276d23e84f3a50
- Realised P&L
- $1.5k
- Volume
- $2.35M
- Markets traded
- 1,989
- Open portfolio
- $11.0k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,989
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$4.4kat 0.911Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
- +$2.7kat 0.962Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$2.7kat 0.347Houthi military action against Israel by April 15, 2026?
- +$2.4kat 0.587Will Bryan Johnson have sex again by May 31?
- +$2.2kat 0.401US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 19, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 19:46 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.9814694742 | $185.00 |
| 08-02 18:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? | BUY | 0.7699999957 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 18:36 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.4199999977 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 18:36 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5999999994 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 18:36 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.7799999995 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 18:36 | US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.9459081522 | $200.00 |
| 08-02 18:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7997457535 | $77.00 |
| 08-02 18:35 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.4192913952 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 18:34 | US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? | BUY | 0.7963562275 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 17:15 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August? | BUY | 0.1399999962 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 17:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August? | BUY | 0.5083056468 | $30.00 |
| 08-02 17:14 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? | BUY | 0.9170114523 | $100.00 |
| 08-02 17:14 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.5024989333 | $188.44 |
| 08-02 17:14 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? | BUY | 0.8599999999 | $300.00 |
| 08-02 17:13 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? | BUY | 0.9782066211 | $300.00 |