PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MrMelonHead

0x9f66aa958734d9d5af35f5f19a276d23e84f3a50

Realised P&L
$1.5k
Volume
$2.35M
Markets traded
1,989
Open portfolio
$11.0k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,989
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.7% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)78.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.5% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · No0.6040.795$1.6k+$381.39
Israel closes its airspace by August 15? · No0.6140.895$895.27+$280.99
Will Hamas agree to disarm by December 31? · No0.1570.365$620.64+$353.29
Iran full airspace closure by December 31? · No0.4280.560$594.04+$140.31
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3? · Yes0.9790.992$490.97+$5.97
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in August? · Yes0.8751.000$456.63+$56.63
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August? · Yes0.9541.000$419.22+$19.22
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026? · No0.7970.789$373.19$3.81
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · No0.6300.795$354.60+$73.55
Iran full airspace closure by August 15? · No0.7100.860$329.36+$57.33
Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? · No0.5820.805$315.41+$87.41
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9? · Yes0.8600.880$306.98+$6.98
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.5000.725$300.03+$93.03
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.6430.655$287.14+$5.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026? · No0.7800.705$271.15$28.85

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 19:46Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.9814694742$185.00
08-02 18:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?BUY0.7699999957$100.00
08-02 18:36Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?BUY0.4199999977$100.00
08-02 18:36US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5999999994$200.00
08-02 18:36US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 15, 2026?BUY0.7799999995$300.00
08-02 18:36US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026?BUY0.9459081522$200.00
08-02 18:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.7997457535$77.00
08-02 18:35US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 15, 2026?BUY0.4192913952$100.00
08-02 18:34US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 7, 2026?BUY0.7963562275$300.00
08-02 17:15Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in August?BUY0.1399999962$30.00
08-02 17:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?BUY0.5083056468$30.00
08-02 17:14Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in August?BUY0.9170114523$100.00
08-02 17:14US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.5024989333$188.44
08-02 17:14Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 9?BUY0.8599999999$300.00
08-02 17:13Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 3?BUY0.9782066211$300.00