PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MSN999

0xa00bdc20164a66169906c454e4df8476d84c5c3c

Realised P&L
$438.89
Volume
$80.7k
Markets traded
6
Open portfolio
$101.61

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
BlockerMarkets traded6
Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
BlockerProfit concentration82.4% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
CautionSettled sample5 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Iran leadership change by August 31? · Yes0.0490.024$101.61$106.38

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 17:29Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.053948493$55.00
08-01 17:28Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.0523729076$53.00
07-31 21:05Iran leadership change by August 31?BUY0.0454079589$100.00
07-25 09:59Iran leadership change by July 31?SELL0.014955214$74.79
07-23 10:57Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?SELL0.022$20.48
07-23 08:29Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?SELL0.029$11.36
07-23 08:01Israel closes its airspace by July 24?SELL0.1$100.00
07-22 16:53Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.1$4.01
07-22 16:51Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.047304175$56.77
07-21 13:58Israel closes its airspace by July 24?SELL0.06$26.28
07-21 08:01Iran leadership change by July 31?BUY0.037$3.84
07-20 18:14Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 24?BUY0.046$82.80
07-20 18:13Israel closes its airspace by July 24?BUY0.07$70.00
06-18 06:45Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?SELL0.71$231.37
06-17 13:25Will Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?BUY0.0569760225$55.00