0xa0ed459324b4f83a0095b772083b783ab558c71c
- Realised P&L
- $-3.52
- Volume
- $49.66
- Markets traded
- 8
- Open portfolio
- $5.26
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded8
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration86.2% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)66.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration57.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? · Yes | 0.489 | 0.484 | $3.01 | −$0.03 |
| Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes | 0.199 | 0.207 | $1.04 | +$0.04 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.120 | 0.085 | $0.92 | −$0.38 |
| Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? · Yes | 0.230 | 0.033 | $0.29 | −$1.71 |
| UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) · Conor McGregor | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$1.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.02at 0.660Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
- +$0.16at 0.860Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
- +$-1.62at 0.303Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second Half
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-10 20:38 | Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | BUY | 0.1989998655 | $1.00 |
| 07-10 20:37 | UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card) | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 06-26 20:46 | Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | SELL | 0.02 | $0.12 |
| 06-26 19:14 | Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199999225 | $1.30 |
| 06-24 08:52 | Norway vs. France: Both Teams to Score in Second Half | BUY | 0.3026086957 | $1.74 |
| 06-24 08:46 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | BUY | 0.4889999077 | $1.52 |
| 06-24 08:45 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 MLS Golden Boot? | BUY | 0.4889999077 | $1.52 |
| 06-23 13:19 | Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.66 | $1.98 |
| 06-23 13:13 | Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23? | BUY | 0.859999914 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 01:05 | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BUY | 0.229999916 | $2.00 |