PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

jennylulu2016

0xa19fb0d59e956edc847cf7997fe976135004ddc2

Realised P&L
$4.1k
Volume
$233.2k
Markets traded
1,383
Open portfolio
$3.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar1.8%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
CautionMarkets traded1,383
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
BlockerProfit concentration50.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)42.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.0% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0150.983$92.36+$90.93
Will Partido Liberal (PL) win the most seats in the next Brazilian Senate election? · Yes0.0130.725$87.72+$86.13
Will Petr Yan fight Merab Dvalishvili next? · Yes0.5000.890$83.66+$36.66
Will no company have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026? · Yes0.0160.780$73.32+$71.80
Will Flávio Bolsonaro finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0160.810$62.96+$61.70
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? · Yes0.0110.934$62.61+$61.85
Will the S&P 500 have the best performance in 2026? · Yes0.2500.665$62.51+$39.01
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? · Yes0.0060.530$62.07+$61.40
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary? · Yes0.0260.976$60.48+$58.85
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Sachsen-Anhalt parliamentary elections? · Yes0.0150.970$60.11+$59.17
Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? · Yes0.0160.635$59.69+$58.17
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? · Yes0.0280.587$59.29+$56.48
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? · Yes0.0140.945$58.59+$57.73
Will there be no Somaliland parliamentary election before 2027? · Yes0.0170.945$58.59+$57.56
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? · Yes0.0070.920$57.04+$56.62

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
04-15 07:03Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.83$24.90
04-15 07:03Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.991$29.73
04-15 07:03Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.996$29.88
04-15 07:03Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.998$29.94
04-15 07:03Will Ricardo Belmont finish in fourth place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.991$29.73
04-15 07:02Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.82$5.74
04-15 06:57Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.999$11.99
04-15 06:57Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.81$9.72
04-15 06:56Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.999$29.97
04-15 06:56Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.81$24.30
04-15 06:55Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?SELL0.19$3.61
04-15 06:47Will Rafael López Aliaga finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.81$24.30
04-15 06:47Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.999$29.97
04-15 06:47Will Ricardo Belmont finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.999$11.99
04-15 06:47Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?BUY0.199$2.39