0xa1a78d477928b8d9CA9900F9B0Af823B063B1faf-1782036620432
0xa1a78d477928b8d9ca9900f9b0af823b063b1faf
- Realised P&L
- $132.97
- Volume
- $25.5k
- Markets traded
- 51
- Open portfolio
- $181.72
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded51
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample3 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$108.42at 0.092Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27?
- +$80.21at 0.370Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$36.99at 0.587Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 07:19 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 200k and 250k? | BUY | 0.0098641267 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 07:18 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be 350k or more? | BUY | 0.0562886466 | $1.76 |
| 08-03 07:18 | Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be less than 150k? | BUY | 0.0097986233 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:48 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.1539999762 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:48 | Will Houston Astros win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.0908373393 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:47 | Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.044999991 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:46 | Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1499999887 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 13:46 | Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.1399999827 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 13:44 | Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.0339622955 | $5.00 |
| 08-02 13:43 | Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0354691452 | $6.00 |
| 08-02 13:41 | Will Chicago White Sox win the 2026 American League Championship Series? | BUY | 0.1039999908 | $10.00 |
| 08-02 13:41 | Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2026 World Series? | BUY | 0.3899999967 | $30.00 |
| 07-24 16:22 | Will LeBron James play for the Philadelphia 76ers in 2026-27? | SELL | 0.997 | $119.42 |
| 07-20 09:48 | Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0749999932 | $10.00 |
| 07-20 09:48 | Will Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2027 NBA Finals? | BUY | 0.0359999933 | $5.00 |