justwins
0xa2cced8bfae7d645f7f437fb76becf2fcbb70cbc
- Realised P&L
- $-1.19M
- Volume
- $15.20M
- Markets traded
- 363
- Open portfolio
- $0.00
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-7.8%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded363
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration35.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$245.1kat 0.521Spread: Spurs (-9.5)
- +$138.3kat 0.500Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
- +$122.4kat 0.510Spread: Celtics (-7.5)
- +$112.7kat 0.510Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
- +$102.7kat 0.517Bills vs. Broncos
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 09:46 | Los Angeles Sparks vs. PortlandFire | BUY | 0.5 | $6.5k |
| 07-14 13:57 | Spread: Connecticut Sun (-2.5) | BUY | 0.5 | $19.50 |
| 07-12 12:04 | Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5) | BUY | 0.52 | $2.60 |
| 07-12 12:03 | Indiana Fever vs. Las Vegas Aces | BUY | 0.35 | $33.53 |
| 07-06 19:05 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $32.95 |
| 07-06 19:05 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $1.9k |
| 07-06 19:05 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $454.79 |
| 07-06 19:05 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $7.3k |
| 07-01 19:55 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $858.86 |
| 07-01 19:17 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.013 | $6.1k |
| 07-01 18:34 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.012 | $708.24 |
| 07-01 18:25 | Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.011 | $4.9k |
| 06-28 19:52 | Las Vegas Aces vs. Chicago Sky: O/U 179.5 | BUY | 0.47 | $7.57 |
| 06-27 21:13 | Spread: Atlanta Dream (-8.5) | BUY | 0.49 | $26.95 |
| 06-27 15:18 | Phoenix Mercury vs. Toronto Tempo | BUY | 0.34 | $1.9k |