PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xA2cd4CcdA9A1f95949DF7A3355C4c2DAa0642Ba0-1729178570395

0xa2cd4ccda9a1f95949df7a3355c4c2daa0642ba0

Realised P&L
$-315.9k
Volume
$22.59M
Markets traded
23
Open portfolio
$1.38M

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded23
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.0% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
CautionSettled sample17 positions
Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
Not knownWin rate (sample)88.2%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration99.8% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · No0.8730.945$1.38M+$105.1k
Anthropic IPO before 2027? · Yes0.8810.675$2.9k$897.62
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2? · No0.2170.002$41.15$5.9k
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1? · No0.0080.001$13.75$211.70
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 30? · Yes0.2100.000$0.00$225.31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? · No0.2350.000$0.00$805.2k
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? · Yes0.0760.000$0.00$1.2k
Did a crypto hedge fund blow up? · Yes0.0960.000$0.00$129.82

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 00:17Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.1288569679$938.68
08-01 23:15Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 2?BUY0.25$78.25
08-01 23:08Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 1?BUY0.0081981073$225.46
07-19 21:54Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$12.3k
07-19 21:54Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$30.9k
07-19 21:48Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.998$1.3k
07-19 21:14Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.996$2.5k
07-19 21:01Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9967072723$37.4k
07-19 21:01Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$4.2k
07-19 21:00Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.999$560.52
07-19 21:00Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9962178542$24.5k
07-19 20:26Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.9792752385$80.1k
07-19 17:53Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.93$20.9k
07-19 17:53Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.93$258.7k
07-12 02:40UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)BUY0.71$248.5k