0xa33ba3d63ffbf6a7429703591274e0285ad817d4
- Realised P&L
- $-2.1k
- Volume
- $47.0k
- Markets traded
- 186
- Open portfolio
- $155.60
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded186
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$461.61at 0.676Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
- +$261.96at 0.580Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
- +$171.27at 0.470Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET
- +$142.94at 0.675Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET
- +$120.54at 0.522Bitcoin Up or Down - April 20, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 00:41 | Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.0989999118 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 00:41 | Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.089999919 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 00:41 | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.2139999529 | $3.00 |
| 08-03 00:41 | Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BUY | 0.5359999847 | $7.00 |
| 08-03 00:27 | Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0469999569 | $1.00 |
| 08-03 00:27 | Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.16 | $5.00 |
| 08-03 00:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31? | SELL | 0.999 | $10.99 |
| 08-03 00:19 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15? | SELL | 0.76 | $2.28 |
| 08-03 00:17 | Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.5099999842 | $13.57 |
| 08-03 00:15 | Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | BUY | 0.3061727894 | $4.00 |
| 08-03 00:15 | Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31? | BUY | 0.5099999975 | $10.40 |
| 08-01 11:55 | Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $40.75 |
| 08-01 11:54 | Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26? | SELL | 0.02 | $1.07 |
| 07-31 13:09 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31? | BUY | 0.55 | $21.78 |
| 07-31 13:09 | Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31? | BUY | 0.2599999794 | $7.31 |