PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xa33ba3d63ffbf6a7429703591274e0285ad817d4

Realised P&L
$-2.1k
Volume
$47.0k
Markets traded
186
Open portfolio
$155.60

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.4%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded186
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.8% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)22.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration15.4% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 00:41Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.0989999118$1.00
08-03 00:41Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.089999919$1.00
08-03 00:41Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.2139999529$3.00
08-03 00:41Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?BUY0.5359999847$7.00
08-03 00:27Will France send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0469999569$1.00
08-03 00:27Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by August 31, 2026?BUY0.16$5.00
08-03 00:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 31?SELL0.999$10.99
08-03 00:19Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 15?SELL0.76$2.28
08-03 00:17Will at least 30 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by August 31, 2026?BUY0.5099999842$13.57
08-03 00:15Will there be between 20 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?BUY0.3061727894$4.00
08-03 00:15Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on August 31?BUY0.5099999975$10.40
08-01 11:55Will there be between 0 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on July 31?SELL0.998$40.75
08-01 11:54Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 20-July 26?SELL0.02$1.07
07-31 13:09Iran charges Hormuz fees by October 31?BUY0.55$21.78
07-31 13:09Iran charges Hormuz fees by August 31?BUY0.2599999794$7.31