Katmaveldacitmeck
0xa3bab8cb84dd1837e727fb249ee50473eb9095e2
- Realised P&L
- $-513.80
- Volume
- $91.6k
- Markets traded
- 252
- Open portfolio
- $271.82
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded252
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$164.97at 0.448Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
- +$163.50at 0.455England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
- +$69.00at 0.310Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
- +$38.80at 0.030Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-01-24?
- +$38.76at 0.030Qarabağ Ağdam FK vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-29 17:10 | Will Japan win on 2026-06-29? | BUY | 0.179999987 | $10.00 |
| 06-15 19:26 | Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.0301250188 | $6.02 |
| 06-02 20:22 | Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.041 | $3.42 |
| 05-31 19:13 | Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.001 | $2.10 |
| 03-01 11:29 | Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31? | SELL | 0.58 | $27.52 |
| 03-01 11:26 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.998 | $49.90 |
| 03-01 11:26 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | SELL | 0.998 | $299.39 |
| 02-28 13:59 | Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | BUY | 0.32692 | $65.38 |
| 02-28 13:57 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BUY | 0.4902261 | $49.02 |
| 02-28 10:28 | Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31? | BUY | 0.31 | $21.48 |
| 02-28 06:54 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.39 | $23.40 |
| 02-28 06:53 | Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $14.00 |
| 02-28 06:31 | Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? | BUY | 0.26 | $1.73 |
| 02-06 17:26 | RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.11 | $2.20 |
| 02-06 17:24 | 1. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5 | BUY | 0.14 | $1.68 |