PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Katmaveldacitmeck

0xa3bab8cb84dd1837e727fb249ee50473eb9095e2

Realised P&L
$-513.80
Volume
$91.6k
Markets traded
252
Open portfolio
$271.82

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded252
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration34.7% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)16.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration46.7% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-29 17:10Will Japan win on 2026-06-29?BUY0.179999987$10.00
06-15 19:26Will Spain advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL0.0301250188$6.02
06-02 20:22Will Belgium advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.041$3.42
05-31 19:13Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY0.001$2.10
03-01 11:29Masoud Pezeshkian out by March 31?SELL0.58$27.52
03-01 11:26Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?SELL0.998$49.90
03-01 11:26Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?SELL0.998$299.39
02-28 13:59Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY0.32692$65.38
02-28 13:57Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?BUY0.4902261$49.02
02-28 10:28Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?BUY0.31$21.48
02-28 06:54Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.39$23.40
02-28 06:53 Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?BUY0.07$14.00
02-28 06:31Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?BUY0.26$1.73
02-06 17:26RC Celta de Vigo vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 4.5BUY0.11$2.20
02-06 17:241. FC Union Berlin vs. Eintracht Frankfurt: O/U 4.5BUY0.14$1.68