PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

VAPAPORRA

0xa3f0b63cc320411f24bc44c8f0de2f1e9d775cd7

Realised P&L
$2.1k
Volume
$363.3k
Markets traded
1,945
Open portfolio
$97.15

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded1,945
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 2? · Yes0.0801.000$32.32+$29.74
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 33°C on August 3? · Yes0.0510.285$26.46+$21.74
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on August 3? · Yes0.1000.325$9.75+$6.75
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 32°C on August 3? · Yes0.0130.013$5.60$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 32°C on August 3? · Yes0.0790.065$5.21$1.15
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on August 3? · Yes0.0400.030$4.58$1.42
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on August 3? · Yes0.0400.045$3.38+$0.38
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 37°C or higher on August 3? · Yes0.0700.100$1.00+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 36°C on August 3? · Yes0.0070.015$0.56+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on August 2? · Yes0.0050.001$0.30$2.70
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on August 3? · Yes0.0100.011$0.25+$0.01
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 2? · Yes0.0050.001$0.21$1.90
Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 31°C on August 3? · Yes0.0170.001$0.17$5.85
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on August 2? · Yes0.0020.001$0.13$0.38
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on August 2? · Yes0.0500.001$0.09$8.80

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 16:44Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 77°F or below on August 2?BUY0.07$1.23
08-02 09:26Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 2?BUY0.07$3.00
08-02 07:58Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 2?BUY0.98$9.80
08-02 01:08Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2?BUY0.05$0.25
08-01 17:59Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 1?BUY0.07$0.35
07-31 01:38Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 31?BUY0.07$3.89
07-30 20:39Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 31?BUY0.014$0.17
07-30 18:01Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 30?BUY0.01$0.84
07-30 07:04Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 30?BUY0.014$0.14
07-30 00:09Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 30?BUY0.01$0.05
07-29 16:02Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 29?BUY0.01$2.13
07-29 08:00Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 29?BUY0.01$0.25
07-29 03:17Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?BUY0.001$1.00
07-29 02:00Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 29?BUY0.9899999968$300.00
07-28 18:01Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 28?BUY0.01$0.28