VAPAPORRA
0xa3f0b63cc320411f24bc44c8f0de2f1e9d775cd7
- Realised P&L
- $2.1k
- Volume
- $363.3k
- Markets traded
- 1,945
- Open portfolio
- $97.15
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.6%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,945
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration12.5% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)94.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration35.8% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$536.73at 0.010Will the highest temperature in Manila be 35°C on July 2?
- +$346.94at 0.017Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 68-69°F on July 8?
- +$309.79at 0.019Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 33°C on June 22?
- +$307.43at 0.003Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 13°C on July 13?
- +$299.71at 0.020Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on July 28?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 16:44 | Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be 77°F or below on August 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.23 |
| 08-02 09:26 | Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.00 |
| 08-02 07:58 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.98 | $9.80 |
| 08-02 01:08 | Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.25 |
| 08-01 17:59 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on August 1? | BUY | 0.07 | $0.35 |
| 07-31 01:38 | Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 37°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.07 | $3.89 |
| 07-30 20:39 | Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on July 31? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.17 |
| 07-30 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.84 |
| 07-30 07:04 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 21°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.014 | $0.14 |
| 07-30 00:09 | Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 32°C on July 30? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.05 |
| 07-29 16:02 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on July 29? | BUY | 0.01 | $2.13 |
| 07-29 08:00 | Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 22°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.25 |
| 07-29 03:17 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.001 | $1.00 |
| 07-29 02:00 | Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 29? | BUY | 0.9899999968 | $300.00 |
| 07-28 18:01 | Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on July 28? | BUY | 0.01 | $0.28 |