VladimirPooper
0xa53e8fc4c2f9910e584de69d8b40a502a638218d
- Realised P&L
- $81.7k
- Volume
- $2.91M
- Markets traded
- 25
- Open portfolio
- $9.4k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded25
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration83.5% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample23 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)34.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration92.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.243 | 0.225 | $8.6k | −$681.59 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.128 | 0.115 | $729.80 | −$83.62 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$224.3kat 0.369Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$28.7kat 0.179Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
- +$14.3kat 0.519Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2027?
- +$663.82at 0.052Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$628.37at 0.426Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-25 21:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $25.00 |
| 07-25 21:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $20.00 |
| 07-25 21:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 07-25 21:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $12.50 |
| 07-25 21:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.25 | $24.50 |
| 07-25 21:28 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.14 | $84.00 |
| 07-24 21:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2677314996 | $1.6k |
| 07-24 08:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.259525602 | $779.78 |
| 07-24 08:15 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2496301779 | $1.2k |
| 07-23 22:04 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.13 | $8.42 |
| 07-23 22:02 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.24 | $786.40 |
| 07-23 12:44 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.2399869338 | $1.5k |
| 07-23 11:30 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $1.7k |
| 07-23 11:27 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.23 | $230.00 |
| 07-22 16:31 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.12 | $60.00 |