OneIsAll.
0xa55771fced93da3cea427d3233c96602910a5e8a
- Realised P&L
- $13.8k
- Volume
- $3.71M
- Markets traded
- 6,438
- Open portfolio
- $3.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,438
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration38.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration33.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? · No | 0.858 | 0.925 | $1.2k | +$83.76 |
| Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? · No | 0.622 | 0.705 | $704.71 | +$83.30 |
| Cuban regime falls in 2026? · No | 0.800 | 0.885 | $442.50 | +$42.50 |
| NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.780 | 0.750 | $375.00 | −$15.00 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.460 | 0.345 | $344.90 | −$115.10 |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.250 | 0.225 | $225.00 | −$25.00 |
| Dota 2: GLYPH vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winner · GLYPH | 0.410 | 1.000 | $224.89 | +$132.64 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$1.5kat 0.260Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?
- +$1.4kat 0.013Will FC Nantes vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?
- +$1.1kat 0.497The Hundred, Women: MI London vs Manchester Super Giants
- +$860.00at 0.013LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner
- +$796.78at 0.024VfB Stuttgart vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-30 16:17 | Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays | SELL | 0.66 | $534.60 |
| 07-28 02:05 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $252.00 |
| 07-28 02:04 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.63 | $319.41 |
| 07-25 19:48 | LoL: LOUD vs paiN Gaming - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.17 | $42.50 |
| 07-24 18:13 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | SELL | 0.9 | $1.1k |
| 07-24 15:34 | Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? | BUY | 0.9099999998 | $456.73 |
| 07-24 13:58 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | SELL | 0.94 | $939.95 |
| 07-24 08:00 | Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | SELL | 0.9613576418 | $1.9k |
| 07-07 07:17 | Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? | BUY | 0.5399999985 | $50.00 |
| 07-07 06:44 | Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? | BUY | 0.7799999965 | $200.00 |
| 07-04 08:43 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.3 | $300.00 |
| 07-04 08:39 | LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.17 | $85.00 |
| 07-01 06:53 | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.328 | $328.00 |
| 06-30 20:18 | Rainbow Six Siege: G2 Esports vs Fnatic (BO1) - Europe MENA League Stage 1 Group Stage | BUY | 0.01 | $12.00 |
| 06-24 10:20 | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Minnesota Twins | BUY | 0.4 | $120.00 |