PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xa5a4cd698037be8845d5785ebb637095323965a6

Realised P&L
$92.04
Volume
$1.6k
Markets traded
176
Open portfolio
$3.33

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
ClearMarkets traded176
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? · Yes0.8200.735$1.77$0.20
Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call? · Yes0.7800.815$1.57+$0.07

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-01 14:20Will Marco Rubio say "Venezuela" or "Maduro" during Fox News: My View appearance?BUY0.4699999302$2.49
07-31 20:08Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call?BUY0.7799999168$1.50
07-30 11:56Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.6099998248$2.89
07-30 04:36Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting?BUY0.5799999613$2.70
07-29 23:44Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.2999999356$2.33
07-29 17:49Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation?BUY0.9099999933$1.35
07-29 02:56Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.05$0.93
07-28 18:05Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.74$7.29
07-28 15:38Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham?BUY0.269999879$1.25
07-28 07:16Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing?BUY0.8199999334$1.97
07-28 04:36Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during cabinet meeting?BUY0.8099999862$1.17
07-27 20:14Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?BUY0.9099999918$8.83
07-27 20:14Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?BUY0.9099999512$1.12
07-27 20:10Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?BUY0.8799999872$5.48
07-27 20:03Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks?BUY0.9299999715$1.63