0xa5a4cd698037be8845d5785ebb637095323965a6
- Realised P&L
- $92.04
- Volume
- $1.6k
- Markets traded
- 176
- Open portfolio
- $3.33
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar5.7%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded176
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration30.1% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)70.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration53.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? · Yes | 0.820 | 0.735 | $1.77 | −$0.20 |
| Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call? · Yes | 0.780 | 0.815 | $1.57 | +$0.07 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$32.12at 0.504Will the announcers say "Goal" 60+ times during the Argentina vs Egypt FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$21.64at 0.582Will the announcers say "Foul" 10+ times during the Panama vs England FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$21.60at 0.460Will the announcers say "Really good play" during the Croatia vs Ghana FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$21.18at 0.721Will Trump say "Toyota" during Michigan remarks?
- +$15.53at 0.714Will the announcers say "Energy" during the USA vs Belgium FIFA World Cup Match?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-01 14:20 | Will Marco Rubio say "Venezuela" or "Maduro" during Fox News: My View appearance? | BUY | 0.4699999302 | $2.49 |
| 07-31 20:08 | Will SpaceX say "Mars" during earnings call? | BUY | 0.7799999168 | $1.50 |
| 07-30 11:56 | Will Trump say "Data Center" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.6099998248 | $2.89 |
| 07-30 04:36 | Will Trump say "Hell" 3+ times during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.5799999613 | $2.70 |
| 07-29 23:44 | Will Trump say "Fed" or "Federal Reserve" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.2999999356 | $2.33 |
| 07-29 17:49 | Will Trump say "Six Seven" during Announcement with the Secretary of Transportation? | BUY | 0.9099999933 | $1.35 |
| 07-29 02:56 | Will Trump say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" or "Cryptocurrency" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.05 | $0.93 |
| 07-28 18:05 | Will Trump say "Hell" 2+ times during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.74 | $7.29 |
| 07-28 15:38 | Will Trump say "Patriot" during tribute to Lindsey Graham? | BUY | 0.269999879 | $1.25 |
| 07-28 07:16 | Will Leavitt say "President" 50+ times during the next White House Press Briefing? | BUY | 0.8199999334 | $1.97 |
| 07-28 04:36 | Will Trump say "Trump Derangement Syndrome" during cabinet meeting? | BUY | 0.8099999862 | $1.17 |
| 07-27 20:14 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.9099999918 | $8.83 |
| 07-27 20:14 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.9099999512 | $1.12 |
| 07-27 20:10 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.8799999872 | $5.48 |
| 07-27 20:03 | Will Trump say "Joe" or "Biden" 12+ times during Michigan remarks? | BUY | 0.9299999715 | $1.63 |