mtm101
0xa6d16ec668c14ee2e9c126aa141f8013c8abbd47
- Realised P&L
- $-7.43
- Volume
- $3.4k
- Markets traded
- 44
- Open portfolio
- $516.99
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded44
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration48.0% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- CautionSettled sample17 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.7%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration12.4% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.60at 0.425Will the price of Bitcoin be between $62,000 and $64,000 on August 4?
- +$4.07at 0.808Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 4?
- +$3.05at 0.902Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on August 5?
- +$1.65at 0.831Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on August 4?
- +$0.69at 0.870Will the price of Solana be above $70 on August 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 04:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? | SELL | 0.94 | $10.68 |
| 08-03 02:32 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.963 | $9.99 |
| 08-03 02:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 8? | BUY | 0.963 | $9.99 |
| 08-03 00:27 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.88 | $11.28 |
| 08-03 00:22 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.88 | $11.57 |
| 08-03 00:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.88 | $10.35 |
| 08-02 23:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.88 | $10.35 |
| 08-02 23:13 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.88 | $10.35 |
| 08-02 23:08 | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $60,000 and $62,000 on August 4? | SELL | 0.88 | $10.35 |
| 08-02 22:12 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.987 | $10.86 |
| 08-02 22:07 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.987 | $10.86 |
| 08-02 22:01 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.987 | $10.86 |
| 08-02 21:58 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 4? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.79 |
| 08-02 21:52 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on August 5? | SELL | 0.987 | $10.86 |
| 08-02 21:52 | Will the price of Solana be between $70 and $80 on August 4? | SELL | 0.93 | $9.79 |