ThornyDevil
0xa7590cd0d4a5620fe4651dc0e6569817e6b31119
- Realised P&L
- $103.8k
- Volume
- $1.06M
- Markets traded
- 59
- Open portfolio
- $63.7k
Can you copy this trader?
plausible — No blocker visible in the public data. That is a reason to backtest it, not a reason to follow it.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar9.8%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- ClearMarkets traded59
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)52.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration46.5% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.628 | 1.000 | $29.6k | +$11.0k |
| LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season · Movistar KOI | 0.570 | 1.000 | $12.8k | +$5.5k |
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner · LYON | 0.500 | 1.000 | $8.2k | +$4.1k |
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner · LYON | 0.720 | 1.000 | $7.2k | +$2.0k |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner · Team Liquid | 0.557 | 1.000 | $5.8k | +$2.6k |
| LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner · Shopify Rebellion | 0.516 | 0.001 | $6.27 | −$6.5k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$26.4kat 0.663LoL: Karmine Corp vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner
- +$23.4kat 0.564LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner
- +$18.5kat 0.599LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner
- +$17.2kat 0.622LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner
- +$15.0kat 0.642LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 22:58 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.47 | $1.2k |
| 08-02 22:48 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.57 | $3.7k |
| 08-02 22:43 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.65 | $4.7k |
| 08-02 22:39 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.71 | $822.58 |
| 08-02 22:04 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.56 | $1.8k |
| 08-02 22:04 | LoL: Team Liquid vs Sentinels - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5532875717 | $1.5k |
| 08-02 21:15 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 2 Winner | BUY | 0.72 | $3.3k |
| 08-02 20:42 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.51 | $1.0k |
| 08-02 20:42 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5 | $153.15 |
| 08-02 20:42 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.48 | $334.60 |
| 08-02 20:36 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.46 | $444.10 |
| 08-02 20:36 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.45 | $1.8k |
| 08-02 20:35 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.62143079 | $2.2k |
| 08-02 20:22 | LoL: LYON vs Shopify Rebellion - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5 | $4.1k |
| 08-02 18:59 | LoL: Fnatic vs Movistar KOI (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | BUY | 0.57 | $7.3k |