0xa7f2bF2F0cd2a893aD29Fcfdb255D37C9d8793D3-1768199407602
0xa7f2bf2f0cd2a893ad29fcfdb255d37c9d8793d3
- Realised P&L
- $383.40
- Volume
- $13.6k
- Markets traded
- 38
- Open portfolio
- $548.18
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.8%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded38
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration36.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample32 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)68.8%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration69.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? · No | 0.630 | 0.635 | $381.00 | +$3.00 |
| Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? · Yes | 0.889 | 0.744 | $167.18 | −$32.82 |
| Will AC Milan finish in the top 4 in the 2025-26 Serie A season? · Yes | 0.603 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$18.09 |
| Will Aston Villa finish in the top 4 of the EPL 2025–26 standings? · No | 0.605 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$50.00 |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.026 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$5.00 |
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? · Yes | 0.052 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
| Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final? · Yes | 0.310 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$100.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$309.09at 0.660Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$153.15at 0.820Will any Premier League club reach 90 points?
- +$43.90at 0.820Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$42.90at 0.740Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?
- +$40.49at 0.710Will Hikaru Nakamura vs. Matthias Bluebaum end in a draw?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-18 05:51 | Will Mohamed Salah play in Süper Lig next? | BUY | 0.8894568951 | $200.00 |
| 07-15 09:59 | Will Michael Olise record the most assists at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8659999997 | $200.00 |
| 07-10 08:10 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SELL | 0.159 | $81.96 |
| 06-30 19:50 | Will Argentina reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.8199999993 | $200.00 |
| 06-30 19:48 | Will France reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.6599999997 | $600.00 |
| 06-13 21:37 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.051999999 | $50.00 |
| 06-13 21:34 | Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0259999948 | $5.00 |
| 06-13 21:31 | Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.0969999983 | $50.00 |
| 06-13 21:30 | Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY | 0.051999999 | $50.00 |
| 05-20 08:08 | Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026? | BUY | 0.94 | $200.00 |
| 05-18 18:04 | Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.17 | $99.15 |
| 05-17 18:53 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 La Liga season? | BUY | 0.9469999982 | $100.00 |
| 05-10 14:51 | Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League? | SELL | 0.1502944162 | $15.69 |
| 05-06 19:27 | Will Kylian Mbappe be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer? | BUY | 0.7399001062 | $100.00 |
| 05-04 14:15 | Will Nottm Forest be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season? | BUY | 0.9420677889 | $200.00 |