0xa82c6D29Bc9AF5c8E9932A07240013F38cB8Dd71-1756138241043
0xa82c6d29bc9af5c8e9932a07240013f38cb8dd71
- Realised P&L
- $-352.36
- Volume
- $271.0k
- Markets traded
- 193
- Open portfolio
- $19.1k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded193
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration25.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)40.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration16.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$723.47at 0.175Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?
- +$646.09at 0.220Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?
- +$558.25at 0.118Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$250.85at 0.140Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
- +$234.38at 0.426Will the Atlanta Hawks win the 2025–2026 NBA Southeast Division?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 14:34 | Will McLaren be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.0113094 | $4.52 |
| 07-27 14:34 | Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.1027429202 | $411.02 |
| 07-27 14:34 | Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? | SELL | 0.8340057378 | $2.9k |
| 07-27 14:05 | Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9542930147 | $648.92 |
| 07-27 14:04 | Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.9509465778 | $855.85 |
| 07-27 14:03 | Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of December? | SELL | 0.9616909091 | $1.1k |
| 07-01 08:50 | Will Philadelphia Phillies win the 2026 NL East title? | BUY | 0.3899999959 | $50.00 |
| 07-01 08:37 | Will Tampa Bay Rays win the 2026 AL East title? | BUY | 0.4380742268 | $127.48 |
| 07-01 08:25 | Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.014 | $14.00 |
| 07-01 08:25 | Will Columbus Crew win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.01883045 | $18.83 |
| 07-01 08:24 | Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.021 | $21.00 |
| 07-01 08:24 | Will Minnesota United FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.01 | $10.00 |
| 07-01 08:24 | Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.021 | $21.00 |
| 07-01 08:23 | Will FC Cincinnati win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.04836505 | $48.37 |
| 07-01 08:23 | Will FC Dallas win the 2026 MLS Cup? | BUY | 0.007 | $7.00 |