PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

HE110W0R1D

0xa86f687d7eed8760decdbf3dd6d7ed59c1e8022c

Realised P&L
$-10.6k
Volume
$1.53M
Markets traded
6,182
Open portfolio
$4.6k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded6,182
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in July? · No0.9960.994$198.70$0.50
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · No0.9640.954$190.80$2.00
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 7, 2026? · No0.9650.918$183.60$9.40
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? · No0.8750.888$177.70+$2.70
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31? · No0.8700.875$175.00+$1.00
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30? · No0.7900.770$154.00$4.00
Will any Uranium Enrichment % Cap (1+ Year) be in a US-Iran deal in 2026? · No0.6700.660$131.99$2.00
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · No0.7100.655$131.00$11.00
Will "Hacks" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? · No0.7600.725$72.50$3.50
Will Michelle Bachelet be the next Secretary General of the United Nations? · No0.9490.940$70.46$0.71
Will Count Binface win 10–20% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election? · No0.6400.575$57.50$6.50
Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit China? · Yes0.6600.570$56.99$9.01
Trump on $250 bill this year? · No0.9760.973$49.62$0.15
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping in August 2026? · No0.9750.988$49.40+$0.65
Will the DFM Real Estate Index dip to 4,000 in 2026? · No0.9860.968$49.37$0.92

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-03 05:14Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 4?SELL0.9585950413$47.56
08-03 05:13Will Squid launch a token by March 31, 2027?SELL0.01$0.40
08-03 05:12Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.57$6.20
08-03 05:12Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027?SELL0.7383233333$22.15
08-03 00:51Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.69$1.72
08-03 00:51Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.915$9.24
08-03 00:51Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season?SELL0.59$11.80
08-03 00:51Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?SELL0.55$11.00
08-03 00:51Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys?SELL0.55$11.00
08-03 00:51Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?SELL0.49$9.80
08-03 00:51Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027?SELL0.103$2.06
08-03 00:51Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?SELL0.34$6.80
08-03 00:51Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?SELL0.93$21.11
08-03 00:51Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?SELL0.85$7.65
08-03 00:50Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30?SELL0.67$20.10