HE110W0R1D
0xa86f687d7eed8760decdbf3dd6d7ed59c1e8022c
- Realised P&L
- $-10.6k
- Volume
- $1.53M
- Markets traded
- 6,182
- Open portfolio
- $4.6k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded6,182
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration23.3% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)32.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration6.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$98.67at 0.033Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
- +$97.88at 0.002Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 32°C on July 1?
- +$43.13at 0.998AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
- +$40.90at 0.933Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
- +$40.02at 0.994Will MrBeast's next video get between 46 and 47 million views on day 4?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 05:14 | Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 36°C on August 4? | SELL | 0.9585950413 | $47.56 |
| 08-03 05:13 | Will Squid launch a token by March 31, 2027? | SELL | 0.01 | $0.40 |
| 08-03 05:12 | Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.57 | $6.20 |
| 08-03 05:12 | Will 3jane launch a token by June 30, 2027? | SELL | 0.7383233333 | $22.15 |
| 08-03 00:51 | Will "The Pitt" win 2 or 3 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.69 | $1.72 |
| 08-03 00:51 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.915 | $9.24 |
| 08-03 00:51 | Will the 49ers win the season series against the Cardinals during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.59 | $11.80 |
| 08-03 00:51 | Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 08-03 00:51 | Will "The Pitt" win 4 or 5 awards at the Emmys? | SELL | 0.55 | $11.00 |
| 08-03 00:51 | Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.49 | $9.80 |
| 08-03 00:51 | Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? | SELL | 0.103 | $2.06 |
| 08-03 00:51 | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-03 00:51 | Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? | SELL | 0.93 | $21.11 |
| 08-03 00:51 | Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections? | SELL | 0.85 | $7.65 |
| 08-03 00:50 | Will the median home value in the DC Metro be between $536,000 and $542,000 on September 30? | SELL | 0.67 | $20.10 |