PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

ZenBear

0xa88350d4e2b9aa84b1ec3ab6348e27ad8fd631fb

Realised P&L
$384.31
Volume
$276.0k
Markets traded
209
Open portfolio
$5.4k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded209
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration30.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)60.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration39.9% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Trump out as President before 2027? · Yes0.0810.065$2.2k$521.21
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · No0.8380.905$925.70+$68.74
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? · No0.8290.875$612.51+$32.50
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? · Yes0.3570.365$460.51+$9.67
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.0970.146$394.11+$134.46
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House · No0.8600.875$305.23+$5.23
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.4490.475$105.82+$5.82
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? · Yes0.3980.250$105.49$62.60
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? · Yes0.5100.505$99.02$0.98
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? · No0.8700.915$73.20+$3.60
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? · Yes0.1100.146$53.27+$13.27
Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31? · Yes0.2300.085$48.81$83.44
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · No0.7000.655$32.75$2.25
NATO article 5 before 2027? · Yes0.1200.065$21.67$18.33
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes0.1500.205$10.25+$2.75

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-23 06:48Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?SELL0.29$188.50
07-14 04:53Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BUY0.28$136.32
07-14 04:53Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026?BUY0.27$11.88
07-12 14:28Netanyahu out by end of 2026?SELL0.35$14.55
07-12 14:18Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY0.1159201825$36.08
07-08 07:02Trump renames ICE to NICE by December 31?BUY0.2191652755$13.13
07-08 06:08Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?SELL0.6$219.00
07-06 08:55Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?BUY0.4488948191$100.00
07-06 08:54Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5099999985$100.00
07-06 08:522026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R HouseBUY0.8599999975$300.00
07-06 08:50Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?BUY0.5473361151$200.00
07-06 08:42US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31?BUY0.88$440.00
07-06 08:42Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?BUY0.84$420.00
07-04 11:07Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$32.00
07-04 11:04Trump out as President before 2027?BUY0.08$49.94