goodgoodstudy1
0xa9cdcda7d86025fa1182285aaa3ccd0a9c48879b
- Realised P&L
- $-5.3k
- Volume
- $375.2k
- Markets traded
- 2,472
- Open portfolio
- $2.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded2,472
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration20.0% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)84.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration66.2% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on August 6? · No | 0.880 | 0.955 | $1.6k | +$128.00 |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on August 4? · Yes | 0.750 | 0.715 | $538.39 | −$26.36 |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on August 4? · Yes | 0.800 | 0.835 | $297.66 | +$12.41 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$448.89at 0.881Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 24?
- +$318.49at 0.783Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on June 8?
- +$297.50at 0.921Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 27?
- +$271.69at 0.852Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 20?
- +$237.29at 0.894Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 11?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-24 16:02 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24? | SELL | 0.999 | $2.52 |
| 07-24 15:57 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 24? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.96 |
| 07-24 02:28 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 24? | SELL | 0.994 | $21.90 |
| 07-17 14:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 17? | SELL | 0.991 | $4.62 |
| 07-17 14:36 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 17? | SELL | 0.999 | $0.62 |
| 07-15 14:59 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15? | SELL | 0.947014685 | $240.54 |
| 07-15 14:40 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 15? | SELL | 0.93925 | $281.78 |
| 07-14 15:17 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 14? | SELL | 0.1588836867 | $88.64 |
| 07-13 14:43 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 14? | SELL | 0.984017119 | $1.7k |
| 07-10 16:11 | Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,700 on July 11? | SELL | 0.99 | $91.08 |
| 07-09 07:35 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 9? | SELL | 0.927 | $20.39 |
| 07-08 15:59 | Bitcoin above 61,400 on July 8, 12PM ET? | BUY | 0.9985 | $49.93 |
| 07-08 15:26 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8? | SELL | 0.062 | $2.73 |
| 07-08 00:04 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 8? | BUY | 0.899 | $17.98 |
| 07-07 15:54 | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on July 7? | SELL | 0.311 | $407.49 |