0xDE664c226EBd872c5F33b2088D97D5228Aa09f25-1774728856255
0xaa25592fb69c81965cf42293b9d018798467f360
- Realised P&L
- $7.61
- Volume
- $1.7k
- Markets traded
- 5
- Open portfolio
- $342.70
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.4%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- BlockerMarkets traded5
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- Not knownProfit concentration—
- No settled positions sampled.
- Not knownSettled sample0 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- CautionOpen concentration72.7% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? · Yes | 0.330 | 0.415 | $249.00 | +$51.00 |
| Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? · Yes | 0.210 | 0.195 | $77.90 | −$5.99 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? · Yes | 0.100 | 0.055 | $11.00 | −$9.00 |
| Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31? · Yes | 0.080 | 0.016 | $4.80 | −$19.20 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $62,000 on June 27? · Yes | 0.046 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$9.20 |
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-06 06:44 | Will Russia enter Druzkhivka by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33 | $198.00 |
| 06-27 14:30 | Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by August 31? | BUY | 0.08 | $24.00 |
| 06-27 14:28 | Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.21 | $83.89 |
| 06-27 14:25 | Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? | BUY | 0.1 | $20.00 |