PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

OldManYellsAtClouds

0xaa37cd67919ba9a1ef9d44157cbfca373e48d346

Realised P&L
$420.81
Volume
$402.1k
Markets traded
4,154
Open portfolio
$3.2k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
CautionMarkets traded4,154
High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 100-101°F on July 9? · Yes0.9981.000$150.00+$0.30
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 19°C or higher on August 2? · No0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 2? · No0.9981.000$149.93+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 2? · No0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 2? · Yes0.9981.000$149.93+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on August 1? · No0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on August 1? · Yes0.9981.000$149.93+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 2? · Yes0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on August 2? · No0.9991.000$149.93+$0.13
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 2? · No0.9991.000$149.93+$0.07
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 31? · Yes0.9981.000$149.93+$0.23
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on July 31? · No0.9981.000$149.93+$0.23

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 23:08Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2?BUY0.999$73.93
08-02 23:03Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 2?BUY0.999$63.94
08-02 23:03Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 2?BUY0.999$12.95
08-02 23:03Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2?BUY0.999$29.17
08-02 23:03Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 2?BUY0.998$149.70
08-02 23:03Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 2?BUY0.997$99.70
08-02 22:58Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 2?BUY0.999$7.48
08-02 22:28Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 2?BUY0.999$8.49
08-02 22:23Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 2?BUY0.999$32.97
08-02 22:23Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 2?BUY0.999$107.89
08-02 22:08Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 2?BUY0.999$41.96
08-02 22:03Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 96°F or higher on August 2?BUY0.999$106.89
08-02 22:03Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 2?BUY0.999$149.85
08-02 22:03Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 2?BUY0.999$149.85
08-02 22:03Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 2?BUY0.998$108.27