OldManYellsAtClouds
0xaa37cd67919ba9a1ef9d44157cbfca373e48d346
- Realised P&L
- $420.81
- Volume
- $402.1k
- Markets traded
- 4,154
- Open portfolio
- $3.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded4,154
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- ClearProfit concentration4.8% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration4.6% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$10.56at 0.808Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on April 28?
- +$6.17at 0.959Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 2?
- +$3.38at 0.988Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C on May 4?
- +$2.00at 0.997Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?
- +$1.65at 0.989Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 16?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 23:08 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $73.93 |
| 08-02 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 76-77°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $63.94 |
| 08-02 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 98-99°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $12.95 |
| 08-02 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $29.17 |
| 08-02 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 100-101°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $149.70 |
| 08-02 23:03 | Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 98-99°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.997 | $99.70 |
| 08-02 22:58 | Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $7.48 |
| 08-02 22:28 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $8.49 |
| 08-02 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $32.97 |
| 08-02 22:23 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $107.89 |
| 08-02 22:08 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $41.96 |
| 08-02 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be 96°F or higher on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $106.89 |
| 08-02 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 08-02 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.999 | $149.85 |
| 08-02 22:03 | Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on August 2? | BUY | 0.998 | $108.27 |