0xAa3A46A1DA050ef359f7A126ab3565312808E29a-1771943647735
0xaa3a46a1da050ef359f7a126ab3565312808e29a
- Realised P&L
- $-2.4k
- Volume
- $89.4k
- Markets traded
- 233
- Open portfolio
- $950.27
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded233
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes | 0.179 | 0.685 | $382.02 | +$282.02 |
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes | 0.520 | 0.555 | $307.31 | +$19.38 |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No | 0.147 | 0.145 | $162.66 | −$2.54 |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes | 0.400 | 0.345 | $34.49 | −$5.51 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes | 0.198 | 0.060 | $23.70 | −$54.30 |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes | 0.270 | 0.095 | $21.11 | −$38.89 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No | 0.346 | 0.188 | $18.97 | −$16.03 |
| Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? · Yes | 0.039 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$10.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$166.79at 0.158Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?
- +$152.10at 0.198Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
- +$112.00at 0.150Cavaliers vs. Pistons
- +$95.61at 0.667Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 24, 2026?
- +$94.05at 0.210Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 27?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-28 04:30 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.013 | $1.39 |
| 06-27 17:31 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? | SELL | 0.002 | $0.62 |
| 06-19 16:39 | Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m? | BUY | 0.005 | $1.00 |
| 06-18 18:26 | Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30? | BUY | 0.0699999974 | $25.00 |
| 06-18 17:51 | Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | SELL | 0.9 | $25.91 |
| 06-16 15:02 | Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.6598680229 | $19.00 |
| 06-16 14:59 | Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | SELL | 0.5343311182 | $18.49 |
| 06-16 03:20 | Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? | BUY | 0.5199999954 | $18.00 |
| 06-16 03:02 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026? | SELL | 0.52 | $19.20 |
| 06-15 02:46 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026? | BUY | 0.1899998784 | $1.00 |
| 06-02 18:20 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2? | BUY | 0.1 | $1.00 |
| 05-26 17:41 | Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? | BUY | 0.5199999996 | $287.93 |
| 05-26 16:46 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26? | BUY | 0.05 | $70.00 |
| 05-26 14:54 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26? | BUY | 0.3099999961 | $35.00 |
| 05-26 14:22 | WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26? | BUY | 0.379999996 | $55.00 |