PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

0xAa3A46A1DA050ef359f7A126ab3565312808E29a-1771943647735

0xaa3a46a1da050ef359f7a126ab3565312808e29a

Realised P&L
$-2.4k
Volume
$89.4k
Markets traded
233
Open portfolio
$950.27

Can you copy this trader?

unrealisticMultiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-2.7%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded233
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
BlockerProfit concentration60.1% from one position
Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)10.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration40.2% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.1790.685$382.02+$282.02
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? · Yes0.5200.555$307.31+$19.38
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? · No0.1470.145$162.66$2.54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? · Yes0.4000.345$34.49$5.51
Will Israel annex any territory by December 31? · Yes0.1980.060$23.70$54.30
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? · Yes0.2700.095$21.11$38.89
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.3460.188$18.97$16.03
Will Israel annex any territory by June 30? · Yes0.0390.000$0.00$10.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
06-28 04:30Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?SELL0.013$1.39
06-27 17:31US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?SELL0.002$0.62
06-19 16:39Will "Toy Story 5" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 145m?BUY0.005$1.00
06-18 18:26Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?BUY0.0699999974$25.00
06-18 17:51Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?SELL0.9$25.91
06-16 15:02Will Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?BUY0.6598680229$19.00
06-16 14:59Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?SELL0.5343311182$18.49
06-16 03:20Will Shehbaz Sharif sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?BUY0.5199999954$18.00
06-16 03:02Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day be the top grossing movie of 2026?SELL0.52$19.20
06-15 02:46US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?BUY0.1899998784$1.00
06-02 18:20WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 2?BUY0.1$1.00
05-26 17:41Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?BUY0.5199999996$287.93
05-26 16:46WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?BUY0.05$70.00
05-26 14:54WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?BUY0.3099999961$35.00
05-26 14:22WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?BUY0.379999996$55.00