thanks4playing
0xaa6ea932c91ae1dc43bb5b9723b6953c728b04fe
- Realised P&L
- $-1.8k
- Volume
- $1.41M
- Markets traded
- 22
- Open portfolio
- $44.8k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded22
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- BlockerProfit concentration74.3% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample8 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)37.5%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration21.7% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$454.29at 0.710Will Karen Bass finish first in the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$140.68at 0.016Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
- +$16.64at 0.174Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
- +$-117.26at 0.420Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
- +$-200.00at 0.800Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-03 18:07 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.36 | $1.0k |
| 06-03 04:43 | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.163002079 | $987.10 |
| 06-03 04:40 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.0360582394 | $652.01 |
| 06-03 00:30 | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.6k |
| 06-03 00:29 | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | SELL | 0.6 | $1.6k |
| 06-03 00:27 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.12 | $720.00 |
| 06-02 23:58 | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | SELL | 0.38 | $760.00 |
| 06-02 23:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BUY | 0.54 | $1.4k |
| 06-02 23:45 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House | BUY | 0.36 | $3.6k |
| 06-02 23:30 | Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | BUY | 0.13 | $270.64 |
| 06-02 23:04 | Will Tom Steyer advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election? | BUY | 0.38 | $1.8k |
| 06-01 23:54 | Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.34 | $498.49 |
| 06-01 23:51 | Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | SELL | 0.76 | $3.8k |
| 05-28 23:59 | Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.1959846251 | $148.38 |
| 05-28 23:58 | 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House | SELL | 0.18026596 | $450.66 |