lazercrazer
0xab8f49a32aa63b75d8da76777bc1e4be444406d6
- Realised P&L
- $9.7k
- Volume
- $247.0k
- Markets traded
- 7
- Open portfolio
- $13.1k
Can you copy this trader?
unrealistic — Multiple hard blockers. Interesting to watch, but mirroring this would not reproduce its returns.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- ClearEdge per dollar3.9%
- Wide enough that a copier's worse fill would not automatically erase it.
- BlockerMarkets traded7
- Too few decisions to be a method. A large profit over this many markets is a handful of correct calls — possibly skill, possibly luck, possibly information you don't have — and none of it is repeatable enough to copy going forward.
- BlockerProfit concentration62.8% from one position
- Most of the sampled profit is a single bet. That is a record of one outcome, not evidence of a repeatable method — and you cannot copy a bet that already resolved.
- CautionSettled sample6 positions
- Too few settled positions to distinguish skill from luck. Any win rate here is noise.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)100.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration100.0% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? · Yes | 0.263 | 0.205 | $13.1k | −$3.7k |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$8.4kat 0.436Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
- +$4.1kat 0.298Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
- +$674.83at 0.465Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
- +$109.10at 0.550US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
- +$89.79at 0.524US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-17 18:12 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2634636073 | $15.9k |
| 07-17 18:05 | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BUY | 0.2599999998 | $1000.00 |
| 07-08 02:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.352335626 | $7.4k |
| 07-08 02:23 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | SELL | 0.3731553229 | $14.5k |
| 06-01 15:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.2259850399 | $7.3k |
| 06-01 15:57 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? | BUY | 0.3822453577 | $10.5k |
| 06-01 15:53 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.8258469557 | $17.8k |
| 04-25 22:18 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.4399999992 | $174.15 |
| 04-25 21:48 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | SELL | 0.42 | $4.20 |
| 04-25 21:09 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.4298402041 | $1.2k |
| 04-25 20:50 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.4208055727 | $2.0k |
| 04-25 19:19 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.4550949369 | $3.1k |
| 04-25 19:19 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | SELL | 0.57 | $3.1k |
| 04-24 06:54 | Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | BUY | 0.4309770001 | $3.0k |
| 04-24 06:54 | US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $3.0k |