PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

MartyMc8

0xac2ec45925c33d1ac8bd495300af7053e36895e6

Realised P&L
$-676.10
Volume
$15.7k
Markets traded
122
Open portfolio
$8.13

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-4.3%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded122
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration18.1% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)38.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
CautionOpen concentration70.3% in top position
Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? · Yes0.0710.050$5.72$2.43
Will The Odyssey be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0740.009$1.06$7.17
Will Toy Story 5 be the top grossing movie of 2026? · Yes0.0690.002$0.62$27.85
Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31? · Yes0.0150.002$0.46$4.26
Will Dune: Messiah have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? · Yes0.0220.002$0.15$2.00
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 200m? · Yes0.0570.001$0.03$3.78
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m? · Yes0.0800.001$0.02$3.38
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be less than 120m? · Yes0.0510.001$0.02$1.98
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 120m and 128m? · Yes0.0690.001$0.01$1.99
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m? · Yes0.0900.001$0.01$1.99
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 128m and 136m? · Yes0.0900.001$0.01$1.99
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m? · Yes0.0900.001$0.01$0.99
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m? · Yes0.1930.001$0.00$1.00
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m? · Yes0.2000.001$0.00$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.5200.000$0.00$12.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-30 17:45Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 280m?BUY0.08$3.40
07-30 17:43Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 136m and 144m?BUY0.0899999599$2.00
07-30 17:42Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 128m and 136m?BUY0.0905472681$2.00
07-30 17:42Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be between 120m and 128m?BUY0.0689999685$2.00
07-30 17:42Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Day Box Office be less than 120m?BUY0.0513149455$2.00
07-30 17:41Will the total domestic gross for Spider-Man: Brand New Day be between 500m and 600m by August 31?BUY0.0152781182$4.72
07-30 17:40Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.0767479675$5.90
07-30 17:39Will Project Hail Mary win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?BUY0.06$2.25
07-20 11:22Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 240m and 260m?BUY0.1929998498$1.00
07-20 11:22Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 220m and 240m?BUY0.2$1.00
07-20 11:22Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 200m and 220m?BUY0.089999919$1.00
07-20 11:19Will The Odyssey have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026?SELL0.002$0.22
07-19 21:58Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSELL0.9325$35.22
07-19 21:16Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.7224999983$27.29
07-17 20:34Will "The Odyssey" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 115m and 120m?SELL0.38$6.47