Akhmed334
0xac3f021b1c5a4ab8b6a6016273d3d15151652768
- Realised P&L
- $16.67
- Volume
- $14.0k
- Markets traded
- 103
- Open portfolio
- $326.22
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar0.1%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded103
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration15.2% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)64.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration56.8% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
| Market | Avg | Now | Value | Unrealised |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will BNB reach $1500 by December 31, 2026? · No | 0.730 | 0.950 | $185.25 | +$42.90 |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? · No | 0.360 | 0.885 | $79.65 | +$47.25 |
| StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.390 | 0.145 | $55.10 | −$93.10 |
| Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? · No | 0.574 | 1.000 | $6.22 | +$2.65 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch? · Yes | 0.860 | 0.000 | $0.00 | −$20.00 |
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$118.51at 0.695Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
- +$82.65at 0.725Gensyn FDV above $600M one day after launch?
- +$70.10at 0.852Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by March 31?
- +$61.80at 0.700Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
- +$60.64at 0.668Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 22:08 | UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims) | BUY | 0.6299999982 | $50.00 |
| 04-04 09:49 | Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | SELL | 0.982 | $1.01 |
| 03-25 11:33 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $96.60 |
| 03-25 11:01 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.966 | $87.02 |
| 02-16 20:53 | Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? | BUY | 0.9679999923 | $1.00 |
| 02-09 11:17 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026? | BUY | 0.981 | $166.77 |
| 01-29 14:40 | Over $90M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | BUY | 0.0391985259 | $4.02 |
| 01-28 21:23 | Over $100M committed to the Hurupay public sale? | BUY | 0.013 | $0.47 |
| 01-24 13:04 | StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.39 | $148.20 |
| 01-23 09:49 | Will Theo launch a token by March 31 2026? | BUY | 0.64 | $147.20 |
| 01-21 10:22 | Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | BUY | 0.36 | $32.40 |
| 01-13 21:56 | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.9629999982 | $204.90 |
| 01-12 13:26 | Will Trump and Putin meet next in another EU country? | SELL | 0.817 | $2.03 |
| 01-04 20:26 | Will Gold (GC) settle at $4,725-$4,850 in January? | SELL | 0.04 | $12.80 |
| 01-04 20:22 | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | SELL | 0.16 | $22.40 |