PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

tryingmyluckhere

0xac9b386454ed02ef205e0ebd189d8864fd02d4c5

Realised P&L
$160.9k
Volume
$6.49M
Markets traded
530
Open portfolio
$66.5k

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
ClearMarkets traded530
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? · No0.7060.685$9.5k$285.69
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.4090.595$6.9k+$2.1k
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? · Yes0.2980.505$5.9k+$2.4k
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? · Yes0.0320.048$4.8k+$1.5k
Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch? · Yes0.2500.325$4.5k+$1.0k
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.4600.345$4.0k$1.3k
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? · Yes0.7460.755$3.6k+$41.95
Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? · No0.2870.440$3.5k+$1.2k
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? · Yes0.5700.805$3.2k+$920.53
Base FDV above $4B one day after launch? · No0.5190.595$3.1k+$400.10
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.5710.655$2.9k+$376.90
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.1100.043$2.3k$3.5k
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.1750.430$1.6k+$950.67
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? · Yes0.3690.490$1.5k+$381.96
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? · Yes0.2830.200$1.3k$520.63

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
08-02 03:53US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.0358520873$603.18
08-02 03:52US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026?BUY0.11$1.21
08-02 03:51US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?BUY0.0190545031$79.59
07-31 19:58Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026?BUY0.1288530795$224.69
07-31 19:47Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record?BUY0.4966547086$1.2k
07-28 16:04US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?BUY0.07$1.4k
07-23 16:34Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?BUY0.2679419152$85.34
07-21 20:50Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?BUY0.54$27.00
07-20 08:24Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?BUY0.666487936$1.1k
07-20 08:23Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?BUY0.34$444.00
07-19 21:29Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.32$100.00
07-19 19:26Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?BUY0.4425$88.50
07-18 16:05Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.229423025$874.79
07-18 16:04Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?BUY0.2058339809$476.79
07-18 16:03Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?BUY0.29$174.11