tryingmyluckhere
0xac9b386454ed02ef205e0ebd189d8864fd02d4c5
- Realised P&L
- $160.9k
- Volume
- $6.49M
- Markets traded
- 530
- Open portfolio
- $66.5k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- CautionEdge per dollar2.5%
- Real but slim. Leaves little room for the slippage a copier pays by entering later.
- ClearMarkets traded530
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- CautionProfit concentration44.6% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)54.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration14.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$27.8kat 0.215MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
- +$24.3kat 0.055Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
- +$20.5kat 0.584Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
- +$15.5kat 0.523LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)
- +$13.0kat 0.205Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 03:53 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.0358520873 | $603.18 |
| 08-02 03:52 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? | BUY | 0.11 | $1.21 |
| 08-02 03:51 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026? | BUY | 0.0190545031 | $79.59 |
| 07-31 19:58 | Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? | BUY | 0.1288530795 | $224.69 |
| 07-31 19:47 | Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? | BUY | 0.4966547086 | $1.2k |
| 07-28 16:04 | US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.07 | $1.4k |
| 07-23 16:34 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July? | BUY | 0.2679419152 | $85.34 |
| 07-21 20:50 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July? | BUY | 0.54 | $27.00 |
| 07-20 08:24 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July? | BUY | 0.666487936 | $1.1k |
| 07-20 08:23 | Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July? | BUY | 0.34 | $444.00 |
| 07-19 21:29 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.32 | $100.00 |
| 07-19 19:26 | Will Spain win on 2026-07-19? | BUY | 0.4425 | $88.50 |
| 07-18 16:05 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.229423025 | $874.79 |
| 07-18 16:04 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31? | BUY | 0.2058339809 | $476.79 |
| 07-18 16:03 | Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15? | BUY | 0.29 | $174.11 |