Rickysavage84
0xacbff1979f8df842ce8257247b2a3b153a6cbe73
- Realised P&L
- $-2.2k
- Volume
- $146.4k
- Markets traded
- 574
- Open portfolio
- $8.87
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded574
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$284.37at 0.550Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw?
- +$216.90at 0.609Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
- +$199.99at 0.410Will Mexico win on 2026-06-30?
- +$192.16at 0.510Will Mexico win on 2026-06-24?
- +$185.97at 0.490US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-27 17:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31? | SELL | 0.6 | $2.60 |
| 07-27 17:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14? | SELL | 0.64 | $1.94 |
| 07-27 17:09 | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31? | SELL | 0.56 | $1.47 |
| 07-27 17:09 | US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24? | SELL | 0.585 | $3.90 |
| 07-18 03:08 | Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.4099999895 | $12.45 |
| 07-18 03:08 | Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? | BUY | 0.3099998295 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 03:08 | Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | BUY | 0.2259998639 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 03:07 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.012 | $1.03 |
| 07-18 03:07 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026? | BUY | 0.05 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 03:07 | Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.1199998992 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 03:07 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026? | BUY | 0.0098135427 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 03:07 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.33999983 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 03:07 | Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026? | BUY | 0.55 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 03:06 | US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? | BUY | 0.4 | $1.00 |
| 07-18 03:05 | US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 19? | BUY | 0.2699998542 | $1.00 |