PolyBot

Read-only · no wallet, no orders

Traders

Rickysavage84

0xacbff1979f8df842ce8257247b2a3b153a6cbe73

Realised P&L
$-2.2k
Volume
$146.4k
Markets traded
574
Open portfolio
$8.87

Can you copy this trader?

difficultPossible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.

These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.

What was checked

BlockerEdge per dollar-1.5%
Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
ClearMarkets traded574
Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
ClearProfit concentration20.4% from one position
Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
ClearSettled sample50 positions
Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
Not knownWin rate (sample)62.0%
Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
ClearOpen concentration17.1% in top position
Open risk is spread across several positions.

Largest open positions

Open positions held by this wallet, largest current value first.
MarketAvgNowValueUnrealised
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended? · Yes0.4000.605$1.51+$0.51
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31? · Yes0.5200.745$1.43+$0.43
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.575$1.28+$0.28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by August 31, 2026? · Yes0.4500.465$1.03+$0.03
Abbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by December 31, 2026? · Yes0.2000.165$0.82$0.17
Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027? · Yes0.3100.220$0.71$0.29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? · No0.2260.158$0.70$0.30
Israel closes its airspace by August 31? · Yes0.3400.200$0.59$0.41
Iran full airspace closure by August 31? · Yes0.4500.225$0.50$0.50
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by August 31? · Yes0.5900.130$0.22$0.78
Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026? · Yes0.1200.009$0.07$0.93
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition · Yes0.6700.000$0.00$1.00
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.6590.000$0.00$67.00
Will Japan win on 2026-06-25? · Yes0.3190.000$0.00$111.00
Trump deploys National Guard in D.C. by Monday? · No0.0010.000$0.00$2.00

Biggest settled wins

A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.

Recent fills

Most recent fills for this wallet, newest first.
TimeMarketSidePriceValue
07-27 17:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 31?SELL0.6$2.60
07-27 17:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 14?SELL0.64$1.94
07-27 17:09Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?SELL0.56$1.47
07-27 17:09US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?SELL0.585$3.90
07-18 03:08Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceBUY0.4099999895$12.45
07-18 03:08Iran leadership change by June 30, 2027?BUY0.3099998295$1.00
07-18 03:08Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?BUY0.2259998639$1.00
07-18 03:07Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 17, 2026?BUY0.012$1.03
07-18 03:07Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 24, 2026?BUY0.05$1.00
07-18 03:07Will there be Houthi military action against Israel by July 31, 2026?BUY0.1199998992$1.00
07-18 03:07Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 17, 2026?BUY0.0098135427$1.00
07-18 03:07Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by July 31, 2026?BUY0.33999983$1.00
07-18 03:07Will the Houthis successfully target shipping by August 31, 2026?BUY0.55$1.00
07-18 03:06US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?BUY0.4$1.00
07-18 03:05US announces halt in Iran offensive operations by July 19?BUY0.2699998542$1.00