1lI
0xad87f6aeb9ab1aafa20dd4903e7f1ea261566a86
- Realised P&L
- $-5.0k
- Volume
- $2.51M
- Markets traded
- 656
- Open portfolio
- $2.2k
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-0.2%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- ClearMarkets traded656
- Enough decisions to look like a method, few enough that each one is followable.
- ClearProfit concentration7.6% from one position
- Profit is spread across many positions, which is what a method looks like.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)74.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- CautionOpen concentration97.5% in top position
- Most of the open book is one position. Copying inherits that concentration.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.4kat 0.296Will One Battle After Another win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
- +$9.3kat 0.426Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?
- +$5.1kat 0.425Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
- +$4.8kat 0.715Will A Minecraft Movie be the top grossing movie of 2025?
- +$4.3kat 0.622Will Lilo and Stitch be the second highest grossing movie of 2025?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-03 09:17 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffs | BUY | 0.51 | $510.00 |
| 07-03 08:43 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.47 | $182.17 |
| 07-03 08:41 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner | SELL | 0.5 | $132.90 |
| 07-03 07:48 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.72 | $149.98 |
| 07-03 07:44 | Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | SELL | 0.899 | $602.53 |
| 07-03 05:47 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | SELL | 0.5 | $0.17 |
| 07-03 05:46 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.5299999992 | $127.13 |
| 07-03 05:45 | LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winner | BUY | 0.53 | $704.90 |
| 07-03 04:53 | LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Team Secret Whales - Game 3 Winner | BUY | 0.03 | $0.60 |
| 07-03 00:19 | Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02? | BUY | 0.82 | $820.00 |
| 07-03 00:17 | Will Portugal vs. Croatia end in a draw? | BUY | 0.335 | $335.00 |
| 07-01 22:16 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance | BUY | 0.401 | $160.40 |
| 07-01 21:57 | Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw? | BUY | 0.885 | $296.48 |
| 07-01 21:44 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Belgium O/U 0.5 | SELL | 0.28 | $140.00 |
| 07-01 20:24 | Belgium vs. Senegal: Draw at halftime? | BUY | 0.55 | $125.40 |