Howids
0xae11c24b83c63827c1450907aa9c5d2115812d01
- Realised P&L
- $-647.79
- Volume
- $49.2k
- Markets traded
- 1,646
- Open portfolio
- $251.38
Can you copy this trader?
difficult — Possible in principle, but at least one signal says a copier would not keep the edge. Worth understanding before following.
These checks compare a wallet’s past record against thresholds chosen by hand. They are not measurements, and none has been tested against out-of-sample returns — that needs the backtester. Every signal looks backwards.
What was checked
- BlockerEdge per dollar-1.3%
- Thinner than the spread a taker crosses. Whatever this wallet is doing, a follower's worse fills would erase it — the profit comes from volume, not from a per-trade advantage you could inherit.
- CautionMarkets traded1,646
- High turnover. Following this needs automation and low latency, not judgement.
- CautionProfit concentration42.4% from one position
- Meaningfully concentrated. Check whether the rest of the book is actually profitable.
- ClearSettled sample50 positions
- Enough settled positions for a win rate to mean something, though still not proof.
- Not knownWin rate (sample)26.0%
- Deliberately unscored. Win rate says nothing without position sizing — selling longshots wins often and loses big, buying them does the reverse.
- ClearOpen concentration29.3% in top position
- Open risk is spread across several positions.
Largest open positions
Biggest settled wins
A highlight reel, excluded from every check above — measuring a wallet against its own best trades reports a 100% win rate for everyone.
- +$9.00at 0.940S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on July 22?
- +$7.14at 0.620Will the announcers say "Captain" during the Argentina vs Spain FIFA World Cup Match?
- +$5.59at 0.099Will "Trump" be said 10+ times during the next episode of the Storytime with the Second Lady Podcast?
- +$4.53at 0.072Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
- +$4.00at 0.300SPY (SPY) Up or Down on July 22?
Recent fills
| Time | Market | Side | Price | Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-02 17:02 | Will Charles Melton – “Beef” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding supporting actor in a limited or anthology series or movie? | SELL | 0.246 | $5.17 |
| 08-02 15:25 | Will the UK’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%? | SELL | 0.189 | $3.78 |
| 08-02 15:24 | Will Matt Damon win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards? | SELL | 0.28 | $14.00 |
| 08-01 15:45 | Will Colman Domingo – “Euphoria” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding guest actor in a drama series? | SELL | 0.34 | $6.80 |
| 08-01 15:26 | Will “Hacks” win Emmys 2026: Outstanding comedy series? | SELL | 0.59 | $1.75 |
| 08-01 03:16 | Will no one dissent the December Fed decision? | SELL | 0.18 | $3.60 |
| 07-31 02:01 | Will "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" be the top US Netflix show this week? | SELL | 0.086 | $1.72 |
| 07-31 00:44 | Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week? | SELL | 0.04 | $0.80 |
| 07-30 17:39 | Will the Bills win the season series against the Dolphins during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.42 | $6.30 |
| 07-30 16:40 | Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by less than 5%? | SELL | 0.15 | $3.00 |
| 07-30 16:40 | Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? | SELL | 0.16 | $3.20 |
| 07-29 19:16 | No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 2026 meeting? | SELL | 0.037 | $1.85 |
| 07-28 12:00 | Will the season series between the Bills and Jets end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.33 | $6.60 |
| 07-28 09:47 | Will the season series between the Bengals and Browns end in a tie during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.34 | $1.70 |
| 07-28 09:42 | Will the Lions win the season series against the Packers during the 2026-27 NFL regular season? | SELL | 0.23 | $4.60 |